Points
61Points expected by the market
56.12Gap
+4.88Yield
+8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 3 | −3.79 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | −0.35 | −6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +5.60 | +42.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.43 | +8.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 3 | −3.79 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.86 | −27.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +4.83 | +74.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.19 | +105.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.51 | +36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.76 | +20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.23 | −23.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Everton · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.51 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.05 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | +3.51 |
| M4 | Ipswich · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.15 | +2.36 |
| M5 | Nottingham Forest · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +1.54 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.63 |
| M7 | Tottenham · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.39 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +4.53 |
| M9 | Wolverhampton · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +3.48 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.92 |
| M11 | Manchester City · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +4.98 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +6.70 |
| M13 | Southampton · Home29 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | +5.45 |
| M14 | Fulham · Away5 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +4.09 |
| M15 | Leicester · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +3.14 |
| M16 | Crystal Palace · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.77 | +1.36 |
| M17 | West Ham · Away21 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.93 |
| M18 | Brentford · Home27 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.06 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Away30 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.02 |
| M20 | Arsenal · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.10 |
| M21 | Ipswich · Away16 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.38 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.19 |
| M23 | Everton · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.95 | +1.24 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-7 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.10 |
| M25 | Chelsea · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.65 |
| M26 | Southampton · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.59 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Home25 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.88 |
| M28 | Fulham · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.17 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +5.24 |
| M30 | Aston Villa · Home2 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +3.74 |
| M31 | Crystal Palace · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.44 |
| M32 | Leicester · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | +1.05 |
| M33 | Brentford · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.33 |
| M34 | West Ham · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.81 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.63 |
| M36 | Wolverhampton · Away10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.17 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Home19 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.63 |
| M38 | Tottenham · Away25 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.88 |
| Total | 61 | +4.88 | |||