Points
69Points expected by the market
68.33Gap
+0.67Yield
−9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 25 | −0.61 | −2.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 32 | +5.91 | +19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.93 | −31.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +0.16 | −1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +2.22 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.28 | +17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.77 | −7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.69 | +36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −3.21 | −43.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester City · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.20 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.78 |
| M4 | Bournemouth · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.66 |
| M5 | West Ham · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.97 |
| M6 | Brighton · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +3.10 |
| M7 | Nottingham Forest · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.13 | +1.98 |
| M8 | Liverpool · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.14 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.29 |
| M10 | Manchester United · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.91 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.67 |
| M12 | Leicester · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +2.49 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.58 |
| M14 | Southampton · Away4 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +4.24 |
| M15 | Tottenham · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.71 |
| M16 | Brentford · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +6.41 |
| M17 | Everton · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +5.47 |
| M18 | Fulham · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.16 | +3.32 |
| M19 | Ipswich · Away30 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.25 | +1.07 |
| M20 | Crystal Palace · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.37 |
| M21 | Bournemouth · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.71 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Home20 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +0.09 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.17 |
| M24 | West Ham · Home3 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.56 |
| M25 | Brighton · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.05 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.41 |
| M27 | Southampton · Home25 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −2.99 |
| M28 | Leicester · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −2.48 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.29 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Home3 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.22 |
| M31 | Brentford · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.69 |
| M32 | Ipswich · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.53 | −4.21 |
| M33 | Fulham · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.74 |
| M34 | Everton · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −1.94 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Home4 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.42 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.63 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Home16 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.67 |
| M38 | Nottingham Forest · Away25 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.67 |
| Total | 69 | +0.67 | |||