Points
84Points expected by the market
79.95Gap
+4.05Yield
−4.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 23 | 58 | +3.20 | +1.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.03 | +17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.18 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 39 | +0.27 | −5.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.39 | +85.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.55 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +2.94 | +15.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.64 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.63 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ipswich · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.70 |
| M2 | Brentford · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +1.21 |
| M3 | Manchester United · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.49 |
| M4 | Nottingham Forest · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.48 | +0.02 |
| M5 | Bournemouth · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +0.58 |
| M6 | Wolverhampton · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.24 |
| M7 | Crystal Palace · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.28 |
| M8 | Chelsea · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.33 |
| M9 | Arsenal · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.18 |
| M10 | Brighton · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +3.91 |
| M11 | Aston Villa · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +4.76 |
| M12 | Southampton · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.65 | +5.42 |
| M13 | Manchester City · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.75 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away4 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.70 | +6.05 |
| M15 | Fulham · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | +4.66 |
| M16 | Tottenham · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 6-3 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.70 |
| M17 | Leicester · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.26 | +5.95 |
| M18 | West Ham · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +6.70 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.28 | +5.41 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +4.40 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +5.27 |
| M22 | Ipswich · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.30 | +5.57 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +6.66 |
| M24 | Everton · Away12 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.19 | +5.47 |
| M25 | Wolverhampton · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.52 | +5.99 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Away19 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +5.23 |
| M27 | Manchester City · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.65 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +7.38 |
| M29 | Southampton · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.30 | +7.67 |
| M30 | Everton · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.52 |
| M31 | Fulham · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.77 | +6.75 |
| M32 | West Ham · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +7.34 |
| M33 | Leicester · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +7.86 |
| M34 | Tottenham · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +8.34 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +7.08 |
| M36 | Arsenal · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +6.53 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away19 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +5.31 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Home25 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +4.05 |
| Total | 84 | +4.05 | |||