Points
66Points expected by the market
63.23Gap
+2.77Yield
+1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 18 | −0.42 | +1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +2.69 | +19.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +0.79 | +0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.30 | −33.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 12 | −2.06 | −13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.19 | +10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.04 | +135.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.15 | +33.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.65 | +45.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.89 | +38.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −2.26 | −26.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.45 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.75 |
| M2 | Bournemouth · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.40 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.98 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.31 |
| M5 | Fulham · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.86 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +2.04 |
| M7 | Everton · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.34 |
| M8 | Brighton · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −0.56 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.49 |
| M10 | Arsenal · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.52 |
| M11 | Nottingham Forest · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.15 |
| M12 | West Ham · Home25 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.16 | −0.01 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.57 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Home4 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.62 |
| M15 | Brentford · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.12 |
| M16 | Leicester · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.62 | −1.50 |
| M17 | Ipswich · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −0.41 |
| M18 | Aston Villa · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.85 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Away30 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.44 |
| M20 | Tottenham · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.62 |
| M21 | Wolverhampton · Home15 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.35 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.98 | +2.37 |
| M23 | Southampton · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +3.21 |
| M24 | Fulham · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +1.30 |
| M25 | Manchester City · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.17 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.41 |
| M27 | Liverpool · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | +0.86 |
| M28 | West Ham · Away10 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.28 |
| M29 | Brentford · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.33 |
| M30 | Leicester · Away7 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.15 |
| M31 | Manchester United · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +5.14 |
| M32 | Crystal Palace · Home16 Apr 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +6.18 |
| M33 | Aston Villa · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.85 |
| M34 | Ipswich · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +5.27 |
| M35 | Brighton · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.71 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.17 |
| M37 | Arsenal · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +5.19 |
| M38 | Everton · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.42 | +2.77 |
| Total | 66 | +2.77 | |||