Points
65Points expected by the market
49.17Gap
+15.83Yield
+54.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.51 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.93 | +41.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 32 | +10.14 | +66.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 13 | +2.26 | +60.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.51 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.38 | +18.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.30 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.27 | +26.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.56 | +98.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 19 | +9.84 | +135.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.01 | +70.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.55 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.22 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.52 |
| M4 | Liverpool · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.62 | +3.14 |
| M5 | Brighton · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +3.22 |
| M6 | Fulham · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.78 |
| M7 | Chelsea · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | +2.11 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Home21 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.60 |
| M9 | Leicester · Away25 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.14 |
| M10 | West Ham · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +6.45 |
| M11 | Newcastle · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +5.12 |
| M12 | Arsenal · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +4.57 |
| M13 | Ipswich · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +5.65 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +5.17 |
| M15 | Manchester United · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.19 | +7.37 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +9.01 |
| M17 | Brentford · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +10.70 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +12.12 |
| M19 | Everton · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +13.81 |
| M20 | Wolverhampton · Away6 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +15.11 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +15.35 |
| M22 | Southampton · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.75 | +16.10 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.03 | +15.07 |
| M24 | Brighton · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +16.69 |
| M25 | Fulham · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +15.59 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.99 | +14.60 |
| M27 | Arsenal · Home26 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +14.64 |
| M28 | Manchester City · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +16.62 |
| M29 | Ipswich · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.26 | +17.89 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Home1 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +19.38 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +18.29 |
| M32 | Everton · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | +16.55 |
| M33 | Tottenham · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +18.30 |
| M34 | Brentford · Home1 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +16.78 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Away5 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +16.65 |
| M36 | Leicester · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.25 | +15.40 |
| M37 | West Ham · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +16.92 |
| M38 | Chelsea · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +15.83 |
| Total | 65 | +15.83 | |||