Points
43Points expected by the market
42.98Gap
+0.02Yield
+10.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.10 | −8.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.66 | −27.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 15 | +2.58 | +51.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.10 | −8.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.52 | −29.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.14 | −24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +5.38 | +97.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aston Villa · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.44 |
| M2 | Crystal Palace · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +0.53 |
| M3 | Manchester City · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −0.05 |
| M4 | Fulham · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.24 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.31 |
| M6 | Brentford · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.48 |
| M7 | Ipswich · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.24 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.89 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.97 |
| M10 | Nottingham Forest · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.07 |
| M11 | Everton · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.68 |
| M12 | Newcastle · Away25 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.36 | +1.67 |
| M13 | Arsenal · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.59 | +1.08 |
| M14 | Leicester · Away3 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.40 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Home9 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +0.77 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Away16 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.88 |
| M17 | Brighton · Home21 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.58 |
| M18 | Southampton · Away26 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.06 |
| M19 | Liverpool · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.49 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.42 | +1.08 |
| M21 | Fulham · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.85 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.52 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | +1.88 |
| M24 | Chelsea · Away3 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | +1.42 |
| M25 | Brentford · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.05 |
| M26 | Arsenal · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.58 | +2.53 |
| M27 | Leicester · Home27 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.64 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home10 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +2.51 |
| M29 | Everton · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +2.45 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.26 |
| M31 | Bournemouth · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.02 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | +0.59 |
| M33 | Southampton · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | −0.43 |
| M34 | Brighton · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.33 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.12 |
| M36 | Manchester United · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.17 |
| M37 | Nottingham Forest · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.41 |
| M38 | Ipswich · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.02 |
| Total | 43 | +0.02 | |||