← Primeira Liga 2019-20

Aves

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWLLL

Points

17

Points expected by the market

30.21

Gap

−13.21

Yield

−35.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.61 +1.39 +115.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 3 12.21 −9.21 −68.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 24 11 16.39 −5.39 −30.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Boavista · Away11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 L 1-2 4.02 1.00 0 −1.00 −1.00 −€1.00
M2 Maritimo · Home18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 W 3-1 2.15 1.61 3 +1.39 +0.39 +€1.15
M3 Rio Ave · Away23 Aug 2019 23 Aug 2019 L 1-5 4.16 0.95 0 −0.95 −0.56 −€1.00
M4 Famalicao · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 2-3 2.54 1.40 0 −1.40 −1.96 −€1.00
M5 Guimaraes · Away14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 1-5 7.20 0.61 0 −0.61 −2.57 −€1.00
M6 Pacos Ferreira · Away20 Sep 2019 20 Sep 2019 L 1-2 4.18 0.95 0 −0.95 −3.51 −€1.00
M7 Sporting CP · Home30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2019 L 0-1 5.74 0.71 0 −0.71 −4.23 −€1.00
M8 Tondela · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 0-1 2.29 1.52 0 −1.52 −5.74 −€1.00
M9 Belenenses · Away26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 L 2-3 3.39 1.12 0 −1.12 −6.87 −€1.00
M10 Porto · Away3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 0-1 29.85 0.19 0 −0.19 −7.06 −€1.00
M11 Gil Vicente · Home8 Nov 2019 8 Nov 2019 L 1-2 2.79 1.34 0 −1.34 −8.39 −€1.00
M12 Moreirense · Away30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 L 2-3 3.76 1.04 0 −1.04 −9.43 −€1.00
M13 Sporting de Braga · Home7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 W 1-0 7.64 0.56 3 +2.44 −6.99 +€6.64
M14 Setubal · Away14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 L 0-1 3.71 1.06 0 −1.06 −8.06 −€1.00
M15 Santa Clara · Home4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 0-1 2.57 1.40 0 −1.40 −9.46 −€1.00
M16 Benfica · Away10 Jan 2020 10 Jan 2020 L 1-2 20.93 0.24 0 −0.24 −9.70 −€1.00
M17 Portimonense · Home18 Jan 2020 18 Jan 2020 W 3-0 2.84 1.29 3 +1.71 −7.99 +€1.84
M18 Boavista · Home26 Jan 2020 26 Jan 2020 L 0-1 2.39 1.50 0 −1.50 −9.49 −€1.00
M19 Maritimo · Away2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 W 2-1 4.02 0.99 3 +2.01 −7.49 +€3.02
M20 Rio Ave · Home9 Feb 2020 9 Feb 2020 L 0-4 3.81 1.03 0 −1.03 −8.51 −€1.00
M21 Famalicao · Away16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 D 1-1 6.21 0.68 1 +0.32 −8.19 −€1.00
M22 Guimaraes · Home21 Feb 2020 21 Feb 2020 L 0-2 7.00 0.61 0 −0.61 −8.80 −€1.00
M23 Pacos Ferreira · Home1 Mar 2020 1 Mar 2020 L 1-3 2.68 1.37 0 −1.37 −10.16 −€1.00
M24 Sporting CP · Away8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 L 0-2 11.70 0.40 0 −0.40 −10.57 −€1.00
M25 Belenenses · Home5 Jun 2020 5 Jun 2020 L 0-2 2.91 1.27 0 −1.27 −11.84 −€1.00
M26 Tondela · Away11 Jun 2020 11 Jun 2020 L 0-2 4.46 0.91 0 −0.91 −12.75 −€1.00
M27 Porto · Home16 Jun 2020 16 Jun 2020 D 0-0 17.86 0.29 1 +0.71 −12.04 −€1.00
M28 Gil Vicente · Away21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 L 0-3 5.37 0.80 0 −0.80 −12.84 −€1.00
M29 Moreirense · Home29 Jun 2020 29 Jun 2020 L 0-1 4.23 0.95 0 −0.95 −13.79 −€1.00
M30 Sporting de Braga · Away4 Jul 2020 4 Jul 2020 L 0-4 13.87 0.33 0 −0.33 −14.12 −€1.00
M31 Setubal · Home8 Jul 2020 8 Jul 2020 W 1-0 5.14 0.81 3 +2.19 −11.93 +€4.14
M32 Santa Clara · Away14 Jul 2020 14 Jul 2020 L 0-3 6.03 0.71 0 −0.71 −12.63 −€1.00
M33 Benfica · Home21 Jul 2020 21 Jul 2020 L 0-4 18.79 0.26 0 −0.26 −12.89 −€1.00
M34 Portimonense · Away26 Jul 2020 26 Jul 2020 L 0-2 14.95 0.32 0 −0.32 −13.21 −€1.00
Total 30.21 17 −13.21 −€12.21