← Primeira Liga 2019-20

Belenenses

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5LLDWL

Points

Points expected by the market

33.38

Gap

+1.62

Yield

−16.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.59	+1.41	+118.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	17	18.05	−1.05	−0.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	15	13.75	+1.25	−34.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.59	+1.41	+118.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	14	15.47	−1.47	−4.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	3.19	−1.19	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	3	2.57	+0.43	+26.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	13	10.56	+2.44	−12.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Portimonense · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	D 0-0	5.30	0.78	1	+0.22	+0.22	−€1.00
M2	Benfica · Home17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	L 0-2	15.03	0.32	0	−0.32	−0.10	−€1.00
M3	Santa Clara · Away25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	D 0-0	4.55	0.89	1	+0.11	+0.01	−€1.00
M4	Boavista · Home30 Aug 2019	30 Aug 2019	L 0-1	2.45	1.47	0	−1.47	−1.46	−€1.00
M5	Maritimo · Away15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	W 3-1	4.07	0.98	3	+2.02	+0.56	+€3.07
M6	Rio Ave · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 0-2	3.31	1.12	0	−1.12	−0.57	−€1.00
M7	Famalicao · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	L 1-3	5.23	0.79	0	−0.79	−1.35	−€1.00
M8	Aves · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	W 3-2	2.18	1.59	3	+1.41	+0.06	+€1.18
M9	Guimaraes · Away30 Oct 2019	30 Oct 2019	L 0-5	7.58	0.57	0	−0.57	−0.50	−€1.00
M10	Pacos Ferreira · Home4 Nov 2019	4 Nov 2019	W 1-0	2.91	1.26	3	+1.74	+1.23	+€1.91
M11	Sporting CP · Away10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	L 0-2	8.56	0.52	0	−0.52	+0.71	−€1.00
M12	Tondela · Away1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	W 1-0	4.23	0.94	3	+2.06	+2.77	+€3.23
M13	Porto · Home8 Dec 2019	8 Dec 2019	D 1-1	10.67	0.44	1	+0.56	+3.33	−€1.00
M14	Moreirense · Away15 Dec 2019	15 Dec 2019	L 1-2	3.50	1.09	0	−1.09	+2.24	−€1.00
M15	Sporting de Braga · Home4 Jan 2020	4 Jan 2020	L 1-7	5.53	0.75	0	−0.75	+1.49	−€1.00
M16	Gil Vicente · Away12 Jan 2020	12 Jan 2020	L 0-2	5.51	0.77	0	−0.77	+0.71	−€1.00
M17	Setubal · Home18 Jan 2020	18 Jan 2020	L 0-1	2.20	1.59	0	−1.59	−0.87	−€1.00
M18	Portimonense · Home26 Jan 2020	26 Jan 2020	W 2-1	2.77	1.33	3	+1.67	+0.79	+€1.77
M19	Benfica · Away31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	L 2-3	25.61	0.20	0	−0.20	+0.59	−€1.00
M20	Santa Clara · Home8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	L 0-2	2.51	1.45	0	−1.45	−0.86	−€1.00
M21	Boavista · Away16 Feb 2020	16 Feb 2020	W 2-1	4.84	0.87	3	+2.13	+1.27	+€3.84
M22	Maritimo · Home22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	W 1-0	2.34	1.53	3	+1.47	+2.75	+€1.34
M23	Rio Ave · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 0-0	7.05	0.61	1	+0.39	+3.13	−€1.00
M24	Famalicao · Home8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	D 0-0	2.89	1.25	1	−0.25	+2.88	−€1.00
M25	Aves · Away5 Jun 2020	5 Jun 2020	W 2-0	2.52	1.42	3	+1.58	+4.46	+€1.52
M26	Guimaraes · Home11 Jun 2020	11 Jun 2020	D 1-1	4.49	0.89	1	+0.11	+4.57	−€1.00
M27	Pacos Ferreira · Away17 Jun 2020	17 Jun 2020	L 1-2	3.38	1.15	0	−1.15	+3.42	−€1.00
M28	Sporting CP · Home26 Jun 2020	26 Jun 2020	L 1-3	5.29	0.79	0	−0.79	+2.63	−€1.00
M29	Tondela · Home1 Jul 2020	1 Jul 2020	D 1-1	2.51	1.46	1	−0.46	+2.17	−€1.00
M30	Porto · Away5 Jul 2020	5 Jul 2020	L 0-5	20.65	0.25	0	−0.25	+1.92	−€1.00
M31	Moreirense · Home11 Jul 2020	11 Jul 2020	L 0-1	2.22	1.57	0	−1.57	+0.35	−€1.00
M32	Sporting de Braga · Away15 Jul 2020	15 Jul 2020	D 1-1	10.37	0.43	1	+0.57	+0.92	−€1.00
M33	Gil Vicente · Home19 Jul 2020	19 Jul 2020	W 1-0	2.45	1.45	3	+1.55	+2.47	+€1.45
M34	Setubal · Away26 Jul 2020	26 Jul 2020	L 0-2	4.76	0.85	0	−0.85	+1.62	−€1.00
Total					33.38	35	+1.62		−€5.69