← Primeira Liga 2019-20

Gil Vicente

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5WWWLD

Points

43

Points expected by the market

40.18

Gap

+2.82

Yield

+20.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 13 13.95 −0.95 −33.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 15 15.38 −0.38 −8.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 14 15 10.85 +4.15 +76.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Porto · Home10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 W 2-1 10.02 0.46 3 +2.54 +2.54 +€9.02
M2 Moreirense · Away17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 L 0-3 3.41 1.12 0 −1.12 +1.42 −€1.00
M3 Sporting de Braga · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 1-1 4.09 0.97 1 +0.03 +1.45 −€1.00
M4 Setubal · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 D 0-0 2.10 1.65 1 −0.65 +0.81 −€1.00
M5 Benfica · Away14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 0-2 19.78 0.26 0 −0.26 +0.55 −€1.00
M6 Boavista · Home22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 D 0-0 2.16 1.61 1 −0.61 −0.07 −€1.00
M7 Santa Clara · Away29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 L 0-1 3.87 1.02 0 −1.02 −1.09 −€1.00
M8 Portimonense · Home26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 D 1-1 2.08 1.66 1 −0.66 −1.75 −€1.00
M9 Famalicao · Away30 Oct 2019 30 Oct 2019 L 1-2 3.53 1.08 0 −1.08 −2.82 −€1.00
M10 Maritimo · Home3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 W 2-0 1.95 1.74 3 +1.26 −1.57 +€0.95
M11 Aves · Away8 Nov 2019 8 Nov 2019 W 2-1 2.78 1.34 3 +1.66 +0.09 +€1.78
M12 Sporting CP · Home1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 W 3-1 4.02 0.98 3 +2.02 +2.11 +€3.02
M13 Rio Ave · Away9 Dec 2019 9 Dec 2019 L 0-1 4.01 0.98 0 −0.98 +1.13 −€1.00
M14 Guimaraes · Home15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 D 2-2 3.77 1.03 1 −0.03 +1.10 −€1.00
M15 Tondela · Away5 Jan 2020 5 Jan 2020 D 1-1 3.11 1.22 1 −0.22 +0.88 −€1.00
M16 Belenenses · Home12 Jan 2020 12 Jan 2020 W 2-0 1.66 1.96 3 +1.04 +1.92 +€0.66
M17 Pacos Ferreira · Away19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 D 0-0 2.65 1.39 1 −0.39 +1.53 −€1.00
M18 Porto · Away28 Jan 2020 28 Jan 2020 L 1-2 10.94 0.43 0 −0.43 +1.10 −€1.00
M19 Moreirense · Home2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 L 1-5 1.89 1.77 0 −1.77 −0.68 −€1.00
M20 Sporting de Braga · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 D 2-2 8.30 0.54 1 +0.46 −0.21 −€1.00
M21 Setubal · Away14 Feb 2020 14 Feb 2020 W 2-1 2.80 1.33 3 +1.67 +1.46 +€1.80
M22 Benfica · Home24 Feb 2020 24 Feb 2020 L 0-1 6.22 0.68 0 −0.68 +0.78 −€1.00
M23 Boavista · Away29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 W 1-0 2.83 1.31 3 +1.69 +2.47 +€1.83
M24 Santa Clara · Home8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 D 1-1 2.16 1.62 1 −0.62 +1.85 −€1.00
M25 Portimonense · Away3 Jun 2020 3 Jun 2020 L 0-1 3.30 1.16 0 −1.16 +0.69 −€1.00
M26 Famalicao · Home9 Jun 2020 9 Jun 2020 L 1-3 2.99 1.24 0 −1.24 −0.55 −€1.00
M27 Maritimo · Away15 Jun 2020 15 Jun 2020 L 1-2 3.24 1.19 0 −1.19 −1.74 −€1.00
M28 Aves · Home21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 W 3-0 1.70 1.93 3 +1.07 −0.67 +€0.70
M29 Sporting CP · Away1 Jul 2020 1 Jul 2020 L 1-2 5.19 0.81 0 −0.81 −1.48 −€1.00
M30 Rio Ave · Home5 Jul 2020 5 Jul 2020 W 1-0 3.96 0.98 3 +2.02 +0.54 +€2.96
M31 Guimaraes · Away10 Jul 2020 10 Jul 2020 W 2-1 6.67 0.64 3 +2.36 +2.90 +€5.67
M32 Tondela · Home14 Jul 2020 14 Jul 2020 W 3-2 2.60 1.39 3 +1.61 +4.51 +€1.60
M33 Belenenses · Away19 Jul 2020 19 Jul 2020 L 0-1 3.00 1.24 0 −1.24 +3.26 −€1.00
M34 Pacos Ferreira · Home24 Jul 2020 24 Jul 2020 D 3-3 2.44 1.44 1 −0.44 +2.82 −€1.00
Total 40.18 43 +2.82 +€6.99