← Primeira Liga 2019-20

Guimaraes

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLWD

Points

50

Points expected by the market

58.06

Gap

−8.06

Yield

−37.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 8 21 17.77 +3.23 +21.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 24 29.40 −5.40 −43.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 5 4 6.65 −2.65 −52.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 5 1 4.25 −3.25 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Boavista · Home18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 D 1-1 1.71 1.92 1 −0.92 −0.92 −€1.00
M2 Famalicao · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 1-1 1.87 1.79 1 −0.79 −1.71 −€1.00
M3 Porto · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 L 0-3 9.50 0.48 0 −0.48 −2.19 −€1.00
M4 Rio Ave · Away8 Sep 2019 8 Sep 2019 D 1-1 4.42 0.90 1 +0.10 −2.08 −€1.00
M5 Aves · Home14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 W 5-1 1.44 2.18 3 +0.82 −1.26 +€0.44
M6 Tondela · Away22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 W 3-1 2.09 1.63 3 +1.37 +0.11 +€1.09
M7 Pacos Ferreira · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 W 1-0 1.69 1.93 3 +1.07 +1.19 +€0.69
M8 Sporting CP · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 1-3 3.54 1.08 0 −1.08 +0.10 −€1.00
M9 Belenenses · Home30 Oct 2019 30 Oct 2019 W 5-0 1.38 2.24 3 +0.76 +0.87 +€0.38
M10 Moreirense · Away2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 D 1-1 1.65 1.95 1 −0.95 −0.08 −€1.00
M11 Sporting de Braga · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 L 0-2 2.47 1.43 0 −1.43 −1.52 −€1.00
M12 Setubal · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 D 1-1 1.83 1.82 1 −0.82 −2.33 −€1.00
M13 Portimonense · Home8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 W 2-0 1.39 2.22 3 +0.78 −1.56 +€0.39
M14 Gil Vicente · Away15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 D 2-2 2.01 1.69 1 −0.69 −2.24 −€1.00
M15 Benfica · Home4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 0-1 3.17 1.15 0 −1.15 −3.39 −€1.00
M16 Maritimo · Away12 Jan 2020 12 Jan 2020 D 0-0 1.82 1.81 1 −0.81 −4.21 −€1.00
M17 Santa Clara · Home18 Jan 2020 18 Jan 2020 W 1-0 1.34 2.29 3 +0.71 −3.50 +€0.34
M18 Rio Ave · Home27 Jan 2020 27 Jan 2020 L 1-2 1.64 1.97 0 −1.97 −5.47 −€1.00
M19 Boavista · Away2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 L 0-2 1.86 1.80 0 −1.80 −7.27 −€1.00
M20 Famalicao · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 W 7-0 1.82 1.80 3 +1.20 −6.07 +€0.82
M21 Porto · Home16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 L 1-2 3.31 1.14 0 −1.14 −7.20 −€1.00
M22 Aves · Away21 Feb 2020 21 Feb 2020 W 2-0 1.42 2.19 3 +0.81 −6.39 +€0.42
M23 Tondela · Home1 Mar 2020 1 Mar 2020 W 2-0 1.33 2.31 3 +0.69 −5.70 +€0.33
M24 Pacos Ferreira · Away8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 W 2-1 1.85 1.81 3 +1.19 −4.51 +€0.85
M25 Sporting CP · Home4 Jun 2020 4 Jun 2020 D 2-2 2.44 1.44 1 −0.44 −4.95 −€1.00
M26 Belenenses · Away11 Jun 2020 11 Jun 2020 D 1-1 1.78 1.85 1 −0.85 −5.80 −€1.00
M27 Moreirense · Home19 Jun 2020 19 Jun 2020 D 1-1 1.50 2.11 1 −1.11 −6.91 −€1.00
M28 Sporting de Braga · Away25 Jun 2020 25 Jun 2020 L 2-3 3.74 1.03 0 −1.03 −7.94 −€1.00
M29 Setubal · Home30 Jun 2020 30 Jun 2020 W 2-0 1.42 2.20 3 +0.80 −7.14 +€0.42
M30 Portimonense · Away4 Jul 2020 4 Jul 2020 W 1-0 2.36 1.48 3 +1.52 −5.63 +€1.36
M31 Gil Vicente · Home10 Jul 2020 10 Jul 2020 L 1-2 1.47 2.14 0 −2.14 −7.77 −€1.00
M32 Benfica · Away14 Jul 2020 14 Jul 2020 L 0-2 5.27 0.76 0 −0.76 −8.52 −€1.00
M33 Maritimo · Home19 Jul 2020 19 Jul 2020 W 1-0 1.63 1.96 3 +1.04 −7.49 +€0.63
M34 Santa Clara · Away24 Jul 2020 24 Jul 2020 D 2-2 2.18 1.57 1 −0.57 −8.06 −€1.00
Total 58.06 50 −8.06 −€12.84