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← Primeira Liga 2019-20

Pacos Ferreira

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLDWD

Points

39

Points expected by the market

40.22

Gap

−1.22

Yield

+3.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 13 13.35 −0.35 +4.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 19 18.26 +0.74 −2.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 7 8.60 −1.60 +9.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Benfica · Away10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 L 0-5 14.93 0.33 0 −0.33 −0.33 −€1.00
M2 Santa Clara · Home18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.15 1.60 0 −1.60 −1.93 −€1.00
M3 Boavista · Away24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 D 1-1 3.11 1.22 1 −0.22 −2.16 −€1.00
M4 Maritimo · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 0-1 1.82 1.83 0 −1.83 −3.98 −€1.00
M5 Famalicao · Away14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 2-4 2.97 1.24 0 −1.24 −5.23 −€1.00
M6 Aves · Home20 Sep 2019 20 Sep 2019 W 2-1 1.87 1.78 3 +1.22 −4.01 +€0.87
M7 Guimaraes · Away29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 L 0-1 5.05 0.82 0 −0.82 −4.82 −€1.00
M8 Rio Ave · Home25 Oct 2019 25 Oct 2019 D 0-0 2.81 1.30 1 −0.30 −5.12 −€1.00
M9 Sporting CP · Home31 Oct 2019 31 Oct 2019 L 1-2 3.48 1.10 0 −1.10 −6.22 −€1.00
M10 Belenenses · Away4 Nov 2019 4 Nov 2019 L 0-1 2.45 1.44 0 −1.44 −7.67 −€1.00
M11 Tondela · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 W 1-0 2.13 1.62 3 +1.38 −6.29 +€1.13
M12 Porto · Away2 Dec 2019 2 Dec 2019 L 0-2 12.02 0.40 0 −0.40 −6.69 −€1.00
M13 Setubal · Home8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 L 2-3 2.01 1.71 0 −1.71 −8.40 −€1.00
M14 Sporting de Braga · Away15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 W 1-0 7.72 0.57 3 +2.43 −5.97 +€6.72
M15 Moreirense · Home5 Jan 2020 5 Jan 2020 W 1-0 2.17 1.61 3 +1.39 −4.58 +€1.17
M16 Portimonense · Away11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 D 0-0 3.78 1.04 1 −0.04 −4.62 −€1.00
M17 Gil Vicente · Home19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 D 0-0 2.95 1.28 1 −0.28 −4.90 −€1.00
M18 Benfica · Home26 Jan 2020 26 Jan 2020 L 0-2 9.69 0.48 0 −0.48 −5.38 −€1.00
M19 Santa Clara · Away2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 L 1-2 3.62 1.11 0 −1.11 −6.48 −€1.00
M20 Boavista · Home7 Feb 2020 7 Feb 2020 L 0-1 2.68 1.40 0 −1.40 −7.88 −€1.00
M21 Maritimo · Away16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 L 0-3 3.30 1.17 0 −1.17 −9.06 −€1.00
M22 Famalicao · Home23 Feb 2020 23 Feb 2020 W 2-1 2.92 1.28 3 +1.72 −7.33 +€1.92
M23 Aves · Away1 Mar 2020 1 Mar 2020 W 3-1 2.83 1.31 3 +1.69 −5.65 +€1.83
M24 Guimaraes · Home8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 L 1-2 4.53 0.91 0 −0.91 −6.55 −€1.00
M25 Rio Ave · Away7 Jun 2020 7 Jun 2020 W 3-2 5.46 0.78 3 +2.22 −4.34 +€4.46
M26 Sporting CP · Away12 Jun 2020 12 Jun 2020 L 0-1 6.27 0.67 0 −0.67 −5.00 −€1.00
M27 Belenenses · Home17 Jun 2020 17 Jun 2020 W 2-1 2.30 1.54 3 +1.46 −3.54 +€1.30
M28 Tondela · Away24 Jun 2020 24 Jun 2020 W 3-1 2.75 1.38 3 +1.62 −1.92 +€1.75
M29 Porto · Home29 Jun 2020 29 Jun 2020 L 0-1 8.60 0.53 0 −0.53 −2.45 −€1.00
M30 Setubal · Away4 Jul 2020 4 Jul 2020 W 3-2 2.18 1.61 3 +1.39 −1.07 +€1.18
M31 Sporting de Braga · Home10 Jul 2020 10 Jul 2020 L 1-5 3.99 0.97 0 −0.97 −2.04 −€1.00
M32 Moreirense · Away15 Jul 2020 15 Jul 2020 D 1-1 2.19 1.59 1 −0.59 −2.63 −€1.00
M33 Portimonense · Home20 Jul 2020 20 Jul 2020 W 2-1 2.82 1.32 3 +1.68 −0.95 +€1.82
M34 Gil Vicente · Away24 Jul 2020 24 Jul 2020 D 3-3 2.86 1.27 1 −0.27 −1.22 −€1.00
Total 40.22 39 −1.22 +€1.15