Points
40Points expected by the market
36.84Gap
+3.16Yield
−7.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.10 | +113.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −2.93 | −33.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +1.99 | +1.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.10 | +113.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.17 | −40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.63 | +62.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | +0.25 | −24.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +0.36 | −25.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Guimaraes · Away18 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +2.35 |
| M2 | Famalicao · Home28 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.91 |
| M3 | Nacional · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.76 |
| M4 | Moreirense · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.31 |
| M5 | Benfica · Away26 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.06 |
| M6 | Farense · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.45 |
| M7 | Rio Ave · Home6 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.58 |
| M8 | Boavista · Away29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.63 |
| M9 | Sporting de Braga · Home6 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +1.71 |
| M10 | Maritimo · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Sporting CP · Home27 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.12 |
| M12 | Gil Vicente · Away4 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.29 |
| M13 | Pacos Ferreira · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.59 |
| M14 | Portimonense · Away18 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.77 |
| M15 | Tondela · Home25 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.38 |
| M16 | Santa Clara · Away1 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.51 |
| M17 | Porto · Home4 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.41 | −2.10 |
| M18 | Guimaraes · Home8 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.36 |
| M19 | Famalicao · Away12 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.56 |
| M20 | Nacional · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.23 |
| M21 | Moreirense · Away1 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.54 |
| M22 | Benfica · Home8 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −2.05 |
| M23 | Farense · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.27 |
| M24 | Rio Ave · Away21 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.24 |
| M25 | Boavista · Home4 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.70 |
| M26 | Sporting de Braga · Away11 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | −1.25 |
| M27 | Maritimo · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.13 |
| M28 | Sporting CP · Away21 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.59 |
| M29 | Gil Vicente · Home26 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.28 |
| M30 | Pacos Ferreira · Away30 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.25 |
| M31 | Portimonense · Home6 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.99 |
| M32 | Tondela · Away11 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.68 |
| M33 | Santa Clara · Home16 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.52 |
| M34 | Porto · Away19 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.36 | +3.16 |
| Total | 40 | +3.16 | |||