← Primeira Liga 2020-21

Gil Vicente

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5DWDWL

Points

39

Points expected by the market

40.10

Gap

−1.10

Yield

+25.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 4 4.87 −0.87 −30.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 27 28.18 −1.18 +7.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 10 8 7.04 +0.96 +78.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Portimonense · Home27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 W 1-0 3.06 1.23 3 +1.77 +1.77 +€2.06
M2 Santa Clara · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 D 0-0 3.53 1.11 1 −0.11 +1.66 −€1.00
M3 Tondela · Home17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.17 1.60 1 −0.60 +1.05 −€1.00
M4 Porto · Away24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 L 0-1 9.14 0.50 0 −0.50 +0.56 −€1.00
M5 Sporting CP · Away28 Oct 2020 28 Oct 2020 L 1-3 6.74 0.65 0 −0.65 −0.09 −€1.00
M6 Guimaraes · Home1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 L 1-2 3.28 1.17 0 −1.17 −1.26 −€1.00
M7 Nacional · Away8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 L 1-2 2.95 1.27 0 −1.27 −2.53 −€1.00
M8 Rio Ave · Home29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 W 2-0 3.00 1.24 3 +1.76 −0.77 +€2.00
M9 Moreirense · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 D 1-1 2.46 1.46 1 −0.46 −1.23 −€1.00
M10 Benfica · Home20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 L 0-2 6.82 0.62 0 −0.62 −1.85 −€1.00
M11 Famalicao · Away27 Dec 2020 27 Dec 2020 W 1-0 2.63 1.39 3 +1.61 −0.24 +€1.63
M12 Belenenses · Home4 Jan 2021 4 Jan 2021 D 0-0 2.36 1.52 1 −0.52 −0.75 −€1.00
M13 Farense · Away10 Jan 2021 10 Jan 2021 L 1-3 2.66 1.38 0 −1.38 −2.14 −€1.00
M14 Maritimo · Home17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 L 0-1 2.22 1.59 0 −1.59 −3.73 −€1.00
M15 Sporting de Braga · Away26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 L 0-1 6.48 0.67 0 −0.67 −4.40 −€1.00
M16 Pacos Ferreira · Home2 Feb 2021 2 Feb 2021 L 1-2 2.88 1.30 0 −1.30 −5.70 −€1.00
M17 Boavista · Away5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.97 1.29 3 +1.71 −3.99 +€1.97
M18 Sporting CP · Home9 Feb 2021 9 Feb 2021 L 1-2 6.31 0.70 0 −0.70 −4.68 −€1.00
M19 Portimonense · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 1-4 3.46 1.13 0 −1.13 −5.82 −€1.00
M20 Santa Clara · Home20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.49 1.45 3 +1.55 −4.27 +€1.49
M21 Tondela · Away28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 L 0-1 2.56 1.41 0 −1.41 −5.68 −€1.00
M22 Porto · Home6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 L 0-2 8.21 0.55 0 −0.55 −6.23 −€1.00
M23 Guimaraes · Away14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 W 4-2 4.05 0.98 3 +2.02 −4.21 +€3.05
M24 Nacional · Home19 Mar 2021 19 Mar 2021 W 2-0 2.08 1.65 3 +1.35 −2.87 +€1.08
M25 Rio Ave · Away3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 W 2-0 3.33 1.14 3 +1.86 −1.01 +€2.33
M26 Moreirense · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.14 1.62 0 −1.62 −2.63 −€1.00
M27 Benfica · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 W 2-1 13.75 0.35 3 +2.65 +0.02 +€12.75
M28 Famalicao · Home22 Apr 2021 22 Apr 2021 L 0-3 2.70 1.35 0 −1.35 −1.34 −€1.00
M29 Belenenses · Away26 Apr 2021 26 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.72 1.36 0 −1.36 −2.70 −€1.00
M30 Farense · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 D 0-0 2.53 1.43 1 −0.43 −3.13 −€1.00
M31 Maritimo · Away5 May 2021 5 May 2021 W 1-0 2.63 1.40 3 +1.60 −1.53 +€1.63
M32 Sporting de Braga · Home9 May 2021 9 May 2021 D 1-1 4.37 0.92 1 +0.08 −1.44 −€1.00
M33 Pacos Ferreira · Away14 May 2021 14 May 2021 W 2-0 2.55 1.42 3 +1.58 +0.13 +€1.55
M34 Boavista · Home19 May 2021 19 May 2021 L 1-2 3.01 1.23 0 −1.23 −1.10 −€1.00
Total 40.10 39 −1.10 +€8.54