← Primeira Liga 2020-21

Guimaraes

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5WDLDL

Points

43

Points expected by the market

48.87

Gap

−5.87

Yield

−27.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 0 2.12 −2.12 −100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 27 24.55 +2.45 +7.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 15 16.76 −1.76 −19.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 7 1 5.44 −4.44 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Belenenses · Home18 Sep 2020 18 Sep 2020 L 0-1 1.49 2.12 0 −2.12 −2.12 −€1.00
M2 Rio Ave · Away27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 D 0-0 2.37 1.48 1 −0.48 −2.61 −€1.00
M3 Pacos Ferreira · Home2 Oct 2020 2 Oct 2020 W 1-0 1.71 1.92 3 +1.08 −1.53 +€0.71
M4 Boavista · Away19 Oct 2020 19 Oct 2020 W 1-0 2.09 1.65 3 +1.35 −0.18 +€1.09
M5 Sporting de Braga · Home25 Oct 2020 25 Oct 2020 L 0-1 3.92 1.00 0 −1.00 −1.17 −€1.00
M6 Gil Vicente · Away1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 W 2-1 2.32 1.52 3 +1.48 +0.30 +€1.32
M7 Sporting CP · Home7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 L 0-4 3.92 0.99 0 −0.99 −0.68 −€1.00
M8 Tondela · Away27 Nov 2020 27 Nov 2020 W 2-0 1.86 1.78 3 +1.22 +0.53 +€0.86
M9 Portimonense · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 W 1-0 1.91 1.75 3 +1.25 +1.78 +€0.91
M10 Santa Clara · Away21 Dec 2020 21 Dec 2020 W 4-0 2.56 1.41 3 +1.59 +3.37 +€1.56
M11 Porto · Home29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 L 2-3 5.34 0.79 0 −0.79 +2.58 −€1.00
M12 Moreirense · Away9 Jan 2021 9 Jan 2021 D 2-2 2.02 1.68 1 −0.68 +1.90 −€1.00
M13 Nacional · Home21 Jan 2021 21 Jan 2021 W 3-1 1.57 2.04 3 +0.96 +2.86 +€0.57
M14 Famalicao · Away24 Jan 2021 24 Jan 2021 W 1-0 2.45 1.46 3 +1.54 +4.40 +€1.45
M15 Maritimo · Home31 Jan 2021 31 Jan 2021 W 1-0 1.95 1.73 3 +1.27 +5.67 +€0.95
M16 Benfica · Away5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 D 0-0 7.13 0.60 1 +0.40 +6.07 −€1.00
M17 Belenenses · Away8 Feb 2021 8 Feb 2021 D 1-1 2.55 1.42 1 −0.42 +5.65 −€1.00
M18 Rio Ave · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 L 1-3 2.26 1.54 0 −1.54 +4.11 −€1.00
M19 Farense · Home17 Feb 2021 17 Feb 2021 D 2-2 1.91 1.77 1 −0.77 +3.34 −€1.00
M20 Pacos Ferreira · Away21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 L 1-2 2.57 1.41 0 −1.41 +1.93 −€1.00
M21 Boavista · Home26 Feb 2021 26 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.14 1.61 3 +1.39 +3.32 +€1.14
M22 Sporting de Braga · Away9 Mar 2021 9 Mar 2021 L 0-3 5.39 0.77 0 −0.77 +2.55 −€1.00
M23 Gil Vicente · Home14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 L 2-4 1.96 1.73 0 −1.73 +0.82 −€1.00
M24 Sporting CP · Away20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 L 0-1 5.29 0.80 0 −0.80 +0.03 −€1.00
M25 Tondela · Home4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 L 1-2 1.80 1.84 0 −1.84 −1.81 −€1.00
M26 Portimonense · Away9 Apr 2021 9 Apr 2021 L 0-3 2.83 1.31 0 −1.31 −3.12 −€1.00
M27 Santa Clara · Home17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 W 1-0 2.29 1.53 3 +1.47 −1.65 +€1.29
M28 Porto · Away22 Apr 2021 22 Apr 2021 L 0-1 8.63 0.51 0 −0.51 −2.17 −€1.00
M29 Nacional · Away26 Apr 2021 26 Apr 2021 L 0-1 2.07 1.65 0 −1.65 −3.81 −€1.00
M30 Moreirense · Home30 Apr 2021 30 Apr 2021 W 2-0 1.87 1.79 3 +1.21 −2.61 +€0.87
M31 Farense · Away6 May 2021 6 May 2021 D 2-2 3.25 1.16 1 −0.16 −2.77 −€1.00
M32 Famalicao · Home12 May 2021 12 May 2021 L 1-2 2.73 1.34 0 −1.34 −4.11 −€1.00
M33 Maritimo · Away16 May 2021 16 May 2021 D 0-0 2.17 1.61 1 −0.61 −4.72 −€1.00
M34 Benfica · Home19 May 2021 19 May 2021 L 1-3 3.14 1.15 0 −1.15 −5.87 −€1.00
Total 48.87 43 −5.87 −€9.28