← Primeira Liga 2020-21

Nacional

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5LDLLL

Points

25

Points expected by the market

34.11

Gap

−9.11

Yield

−47.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.60 +1.40 +116.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 16 17 20.61 −3.61 −24.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 17 5 11.89 −6.89 −78.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Boavista · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 D 3-3 2.63 1.39 1 −0.39 −0.39 −€1.00
M2 Farense · Away27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 W 1-0 3.07 1.21 3 +1.79 +1.40 +€2.07
M3 Belenenses · Home4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 D 0-0 2.24 1.55 1 −0.55 +0.84 −€1.00
M4 Sporting de Braga · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 1-2 8.76 0.50 0 −0.50 +0.34 −€1.00
M5 Pacos Ferreira · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.78 1.31 1 −0.31 +0.02 −€1.00
M6 Maritimo · Away31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 D 0-0 3.23 1.17 1 −0.17 −0.15 −€1.00
M7 Gil Vicente · Home8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 W 2-1 2.53 1.42 3 +1.58 +1.43 +€1.53
M8 Portimonense · Away29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 L 0-1 3.37 1.12 0 −1.12 +0.31 −€1.00
M9 Santa Clara · Home6 Dec 2020 6 Dec 2020 L 1-3 2.62 1.38 0 −1.38 −1.06 −€1.00
M10 Porto · Away20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 L 0-2 12.79 0.36 0 −0.36 −1.42 −€1.00
M11 Tondela · Home27 Dec 2020 27 Dec 2020 W 2-0 2.16 1.60 3 +1.40 −0.02 +€1.16
M12 Sporting CP · Home8 Jan 2021 8 Jan 2021 L 0-2 7.14 0.61 0 −0.61 −0.63 −€1.00
M13 Moreirense · Home17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 L 0-1 2.41 1.48 0 −1.48 −2.11 −€1.00
M14 Guimaraes · Away21 Jan 2021 21 Jan 2021 L 1-3 5.87 0.72 0 −0.72 −2.83 −€1.00
M15 Benfica · Away25 Jan 2021 25 Jan 2021 D 1-1 12.06 0.37 1 +0.63 −2.20 −€1.00
M16 Famalicao · Home30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 W 2-1 3.03 1.24 3 +1.76 −0.44 +€2.03
M17 Rio Ave · Away5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 D 0-0 4.75 0.88 1 +0.12 −0.32 −€1.00
M18 Boavista · Away9 Feb 2021 9 Feb 2021 W 1-0 3.40 1.13 3 +1.87 +1.55 +€2.40
M19 Farense · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 L 2-3 2.70 1.35 0 −1.35 +0.20 −€1.00
M20 Belenenses · Away20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 L 1-2 3.95 1.02 0 −1.02 −0.82 −€1.00
M21 Sporting de Braga · Home28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 L 1-2 6.04 0.70 0 −0.70 −1.52 −€1.00
M22 Pacos Ferreira · Away5 Mar 2021 5 Mar 2021 L 1-2 5.18 0.81 0 −0.81 −2.33 −€1.00
M23 Maritimo · Home12 Mar 2021 12 Mar 2021 L 1-2 2.92 1.28 0 −1.28 −3.61 −€1.00
M24 Gil Vicente · Away19 Mar 2021 19 Mar 2021 L 0-2 3.75 1.05 0 −1.05 −4.66 −€1.00
M25 Portimonense · Home2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 L 1-5 2.85 1.29 0 −1.29 −5.95 −€1.00
M26 Santa Clara · Away11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 L 1-5 5.11 0.82 0 −0.82 −6.77 −€1.00
M27 Porto · Home18 Apr 2021 18 Apr 2021 L 0-1 13.01 0.36 0 −0.36 −7.13 −€1.00
M28 Tondela · Away22 Apr 2021 22 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.43 1.11 0 −1.11 −8.24 −€1.00
M29 Guimaraes · Home26 Apr 2021 26 Apr 2021 W 1-0 3.62 1.07 3 +1.93 −6.30 +€2.62
M30 Sporting CP · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 0-2 10.94 0.44 0 −0.44 −6.74 −€1.00
M31 Moreirense · Away6 May 2021 6 May 2021 D 2-2 3.18 1.18 1 −0.18 −6.92 −€1.00
M32 Benfica · Home11 May 2021 11 May 2021 L 1-3 7.62 0.56 0 −0.56 −7.48 −€1.00
M33 Famalicao · Away16 May 2021 16 May 2021 L 0-3 4.54 0.87 0 −0.87 −8.35 −€1.00
M34 Rio Ave · Home19 May 2021 19 May 2021 L 1-2 5.30 0.76 0 −0.76 −9.11 −€1.00
Total 34.11 25 −9.11 −€16.19