← Primeira Liga 2020-21

Porto

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5WDWWW

Points

80

Points expected by the market

74.97

Gap

+5.03

Yield

−5.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 27 69 63.20 +5.80 +7.1%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 9 8.95 +0.05 −33.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches 2 2 2.82 −0.82 −100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Sporting de Braga · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 W 3-1 1.66 1.95 3 +1.05 +1.05 +€0.66
M2 Boavista · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 W 5-0 1.32 2.33 3 +0.67 +1.72 +€0.32
M3 Maritimo · Home3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 2-3 1.17 2.55 0 −2.55 −0.83 −€1.00
M4 Sporting CP · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 D 2-2 2.04 1.67 1 −0.67 −1.49 −€1.00
M5 Gil Vicente · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 W 1-0 1.33 2.31 3 +0.69 −0.81 +€0.33
M6 Pacos Ferreira · Away30 Oct 2020 30 Oct 2020 L 2-3 1.48 2.13 0 −2.13 −2.94 −€1.00
M7 Portimonense · Home8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 W 3-1 1.23 2.45 3 +0.55 −2.39 +€0.23
M8 Santa Clara · Away28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 W 1-0 1.47 2.13 3 +0.87 −1.53 +€0.47
M9 Tondela · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 W 4-3 1.17 2.54 3 +0.46 −1.07 +€0.17
M10 Nacional · Home20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 W 2-0 1.19 2.51 3 +0.49 −0.58 +€0.19
M11 Guimaraes · Away29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 W 3-2 1.66 1.96 3 +1.04 +0.46 +€0.66
M12 Moreirense · Home3 Jan 2021 3 Jan 2021 W 3-0 1.22 2.47 3 +0.53 +0.99 +€0.22
M13 Famalicao · Away8 Jan 2021 8 Jan 2021 W 4-1 1.36 2.27 3 +0.73 +1.72 +€0.36
M14 Benfica · Home15 Jan 2021 15 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.22 1.56 1 −0.56 +1.16 −€1.00
M15 Farense · Away25 Jan 2021 25 Jan 2021 W 1-0 1.34 2.30 3 +0.70 +1.86 +€0.34
M16 Rio Ave · Home1 Feb 2021 1 Feb 2021 W 2-0 1.33 2.31 3 +0.69 +2.55 +€0.33
M17 Belenenses · Away4 Feb 2021 4 Feb 2021 D 0-0 1.43 2.19 1 −1.19 +1.36 −€1.00
M18 Sporting de Braga · Away7 Feb 2021 7 Feb 2021 D 2-2 2.06 1.65 1 −0.65 +0.71 −€1.00
M19 Boavista · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 D 2-2 1.27 2.39 1 −1.39 −0.68 −€1.00
M20 Maritimo · Away22 Feb 2021 22 Feb 2021 W 2-1 1.31 2.34 3 +0.66 −0.02 +€0.31
M21 Sporting CP · Home27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 D 0-0 1.96 1.72 1 −0.72 −0.74 −€1.00
M22 Gil Vicente · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 W 2-0 1.38 2.25 3 +0.75 +0.01 +€0.38
M23 Pacos Ferreira · Home14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 W 2-0 1.36 2.27 3 +0.73 +0.74 +€0.36
M24 Portimonense · Away20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 W 2-1 1.42 2.21 3 +0.79 +1.53 +€0.42
M25 Santa Clara · Home3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 W 2-1 1.28 2.38 3 +0.62 +2.15 +€0.28
M26 Tondela · Away10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 2-0 1.32 2.33 3 +0.67 +2.82 +€0.32
M27 Nacional · Away18 Apr 2021 18 Apr 2021 W 1-0 1.20 2.49 3 +0.51 +3.33 +€0.20
M28 Guimaraes · Home22 Apr 2021 22 Apr 2021 W 1-0 1.34 2.30 3 +0.70 +4.03 +€0.34
M29 Moreirense · Away26 Apr 2021 26 Apr 2021 D 1-1 1.21 2.49 1 −1.49 +2.53 −€1.00
M30 Famalicao · Home30 Apr 2021 30 Apr 2021 W 3-2 1.39 2.23 3 +0.77 +3.30 +€0.39
M31 Benfica · Away6 May 2021 6 May 2021 D 1-1 2.91 1.26 1 −0.26 +3.04 −€1.00
M32 Farense · Home10 May 2021 10 May 2021 W 5-1 1.34 2.31 3 +0.69 +3.73 +€0.34
M33 Rio Ave · Away15 May 2021 15 May 2021 W 3-0 1.42 2.20 3 +0.80 +4.53 +€0.42
M34 Belenenses · Home19 May 2021 19 May 2021 W 4-0 1.20 2.50 3 +0.50 +5.03 +€0.20
Total 74.97 80 +5.03 −€1.76