Points
36Points expected by the market
32.64Gap
+3.36Yield
−8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +6.07 | +71.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 14 | −4.10 | −49.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.45 | +78.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.80 | −9.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.63 | +46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 7 | −4.90 | −70.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rio Ave · Home20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| M2 | Maritimo · Away26 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.02 |
| M3 | Sporting de Braga · Home3 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.71 |
| M4 | Gil Vicente · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.80 |
| M5 | Portimonense · Home23 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.15 |
| M6 | Sporting CP · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −0.36 |
| M7 | Santa Clara · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.53 |
| M8 | Guimaraes · Home27 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.58 |
| M9 | Porto · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.32 | +0.26 |
| M10 | Moreirense · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.16 |
| M11 | Nacional · Away27 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.27 |
| M12 | Famalicao · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.46 |
| M13 | Benfica · Away8 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.25 | +0.21 |
| M14 | Boavista · Home16 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.13 |
| M15 | Belenenses · Away25 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.05 |
| M16 | Farense · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.64 |
| M17 | Pacos Ferreira · Away5 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.74 |
| M18 | Rio Ave · Away9 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.82 |
| M19 | Maritimo · Home16 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.37 |
| M20 | Sporting de Braga · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.80 |
| M21 | Gil Vicente · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.52 |
| M22 | Portimonense · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.58 |
| M23 | Sporting CP · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | +2.06 |
| M24 | Santa Clara · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +2.21 |
| M25 | Guimaraes · Away4 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +4.31 |
| M26 | Porto · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | +3.82 |
| M27 | Moreirense · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +5.55 |
| M28 | Nacional · Home22 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.94 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Away26 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | +7.10 |
| M30 | Benfica · Home30 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | +6.65 |
| M31 | Boavista · Away7 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +6.61 |
| M32 | Belenenses · Home11 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +5.23 |
| M33 | Farense · Away15 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | +4.59 |
| M34 | Pacos Ferreira · Home18 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +3.36 |
| Total | 36 | +3.36 | |||