← Primeira Liga 2021-22

Pacos Ferreira

Season 2021-22 · 34 matches played

Last 5LDDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

37.88

Gap

+0.12

Yield

−25.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	2	3.58	−1.58	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	17	29	22.90	+6.10	+28.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	7	11.40	−4.40	−75.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	2	3.58	−1.58	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	18	14.00	+4.00	+31.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	1	4.15	−3.15	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	11	8.89	+2.11	+24.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	6	7.25	−1.25	−63.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Famalicao · Home8 Aug 2021	8 Aug 2021	W 2-0	2.56	1.42	3	+1.58	+1.58	+€1.56
M2	Boavista · Away16 Aug 2021	16 Aug 2021	L 0-3	2.53	1.43	0	−1.43	+0.15	−€1.00
M3	Estoril · Home23 Aug 2021	23 Aug 2021	L 1-3	2.23	1.58	0	−1.58	−1.43	−€1.00
M4	Portimonense · Away29 Aug 2021	29 Aug 2021	W 1-0	3.46	1.13	3	+1.87	+0.44	+€2.46
M5	Sporting de Braga · Home11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	D 0-0	4.43	0.91	1	+0.09	+0.54	−€1.00
M6	Vizela · Away19 Sep 2021	19 Sep 2021	D 1-1	3.16	1.19	1	−0.19	+0.35	−€1.00
M7	Belenenses · Home27 Sep 2021	27 Sep 2021	D 2-2	1.82	1.85	1	−0.85	−0.50	−€1.00
M8	Porto · Away2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	L 1-2	11.87	0.40	0	−0.40	−0.90	−€1.00
M9	Arouca · Home24 Oct 2021	24 Oct 2021	D 0-0	1.94	1.73	1	−0.73	−1.63	−€1.00
M10	Moreirense · Away1 Nov 2021	1 Nov 2021	D 1-1	3.12	1.21	1	−0.21	−1.84	−€1.00
M11	Sporting CP · Home7 Nov 2021	7 Nov 2021	L 0-2	6.39	0.70	0	−0.70	−2.54	−€1.00
M12	Maritimo · Away28 Nov 2021	28 Nov 2021	L 0-2	3.30	1.17	0	−1.17	−3.70	−€1.00
M13	Guimaraes · Home4 Dec 2021	4 Dec 2021	L 1-2	2.89	1.28	0	−1.28	−4.98	−€1.00
M14	Gil Vicente · Home10 Dec 2021	10 Dec 2021	L 0-1	3.62	1.08	0	−1.08	−6.07	−€1.00
M15	Tondela · Away18 Dec 2021	18 Dec 2021	W 1-0	2.85	1.29	3	+1.71	−4.36	+€1.85
M16	Santa Clara · Home30 Dec 2021	30 Dec 2021	W 2-1	2.61	1.40	3	+1.60	−2.76	+€1.61
M17	Benfica · Away9 Jan 2022	9 Jan 2022	L 0-2	14.74	0.33	0	−0.33	−3.09	−€1.00
M18	Famalicao · Away16 Jan 2022	16 Jan 2022	D 0-0	3.87	1.03	1	−0.03	−3.12	−€1.00
M19	Boavista · Home21 Jan 2022	21 Jan 2022	D 1-1	2.52	1.44	1	−0.44	−3.56	−€1.00
M20	Estoril · Away31 Jan 2022	31 Jan 2022	D 0-0	3.83	1.03	1	−0.03	−3.59	−€1.00
M21	Portimonense · Home5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	D 1-1	2.45	1.47	1	−0.47	−4.07	−€1.00
M22	Sporting de Braga · Away12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	L 1-2	8.49	0.54	0	−0.54	−4.61	−€1.00
M23	Vizela · Home19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	W 2-1	2.86	1.29	3	+1.71	−2.90	+€1.86
M24	Belenenses · Away25 Feb 2022	25 Feb 2022	W 2-0	2.42	1.48	3	+1.52	−1.38	+€1.42
M25	Porto · Home6 Mar 2022	6 Mar 2022	L 2-4	10.28	0.45	0	−0.45	−1.83	−€1.00
M26	Arouca · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	W 1-0	3.65	1.07	3	+1.93	+0.10	+€2.65
M27	Moreirense · Home20 Mar 2022	20 Mar 2022	W 2-1	2.35	1.52	3	+1.48	+1.58	+€1.35
M28	Sporting CP · Away3 Apr 2022	3 Apr 2022	L 0-2	17.42	0.29	0	−0.29	+1.29	−€1.00
M29	Maritimo · Home9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	W 2-0	2.72	1.36	3	+1.64	+2.93	+€1.72
M30	Guimaraes · Away15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	L 0-4	4.73	0.87	0	−0.87	+2.06	−€1.00
M31	Gil Vicente · Away23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	D 1-1	5.24	0.80	1	+0.20	+2.26	−€1.00
M32	Tondela · Home2 May 2022	2 May 2022	D 1-1	3.03	1.24	1	−0.24	+2.02	−€1.00
M33	Santa Clara · Away8 May 2022	8 May 2022	L 0-2	4.53	0.89	0	−0.89	+1.13	−€1.00
M34	Benfica · Home13 May 2022	13 May 2022	L 0-2	3.70	1.01	0	−1.01	+0.12	−€1.00
Total					37.88	38	+0.12		−€8.52