← Primeira Liga 2022-23

Estoril

Season 2022-23 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLWDW

Points

35

Points expected by the market

37.86

Gap

−2.86

Yield

−18.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 7 8.14 −1.14 −13.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 18 24 22.94 +1.06 +10.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 11 4 6.78 −2.78 −67.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Famalicao · Home6 Aug 2022 6 Aug 2022 W 2-0 2.51 1.43 3 +1.57 +1.57 +€1.51
M2 Guimaraes · Away14 Aug 2022 14 Aug 2022 L 0-1 3.71 1.06 0 −1.06 +0.51 −€1.00
M3 Rio Ave · Home19 Aug 2022 19 Aug 2022 D 2-2 2.11 1.64 1 −0.64 −0.13 −€1.00
M4 Pacos Ferreira · Away26 Aug 2022 26 Aug 2022 W 3-0 2.90 1.28 3 +1.72 +1.59 +€1.90
M5 Sporting CP · Home2 Sep 2022 2 Sep 2022 L 0-2 7.24 0.60 0 −0.60 +0.99 −€1.00
M6 Vizela · Away12 Sep 2022 12 Sep 2022 W 1-0 3.59 1.07 3 +1.93 +2.93 +€2.59
M7 Porto · Home17 Sep 2022 17 Sep 2022 D 1-1 8.79 0.52 1 +0.48 +3.41 −€1.00
M8 Chaves · Away1 Oct 2022 1 Oct 2022 D 1-1 3.36 1.13 1 −0.13 +3.27 −€1.00
M9 Gil Vicente · Away7 Oct 2022 7 Oct 2022 W 1-0 3.24 1.15 3 +1.85 +5.12 +€2.24
M10 Sporting de Braga · Home22 Oct 2022 22 Oct 2022 L 0-2 5.42 0.76 0 −0.76 +4.36 −€1.00
M11 Portimonense · Away30 Oct 2022 30 Oct 2022 D 1-1 3.00 1.24 1 −0.24 +4.12 −€1.00
M12 Benfica · Home6 Nov 2022 6 Nov 2022 L 1-5 11.10 0.41 0 −0.41 +3.71 −€1.00
M13 Santa Clara · Away14 Nov 2022 14 Nov 2022 L 1-3 3.38 1.14 0 −1.14 +2.57 −€1.00
M14 Arouca · Away7 Jan 2023 7 Jan 2023 L 0-2 3.20 1.18 0 −1.18 +1.39 −€1.00
M15 Casa Pia · Home16 Jan 2023 16 Jan 2023 W 2-0 3.01 1.25 3 +1.75 +3.14 +€2.01
M16 Maritimo · Away22 Jan 2023 22 Jan 2023 L 0-1 2.91 1.29 0 −1.29 +1.85 −€1.00
M17 Famalicao · Away29 Jan 2023 29 Jan 2023 L 0-1 4.04 1.00 0 −1.00 +0.85 −€1.00
M18 Guimaraes · Home4 Feb 2023 4 Feb 2023 L 0-1 2.67 1.37 0 −1.37 −0.52 −€1.00
M19 Boavista · Home9 Feb 2023 9 Feb 2023 W 2-1 2.80 1.33 3 +1.67 +1.15 +€1.80
M20 Rio Ave · Away13 Feb 2023 13 Feb 2023 L 0-2 3.09 1.24 0 −1.24 −0.09 −€1.00
M21 Pacos Ferreira · Home18 Feb 2023 18 Feb 2023 L 1-3 2.05 1.68 0 −1.68 −1.77 −€1.00
M22 Sporting CP · Away27 Feb 2023 27 Feb 2023 L 0-2 14.99 0.33 0 −0.33 −2.10 −€1.00
M23 Vizela · Home4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 L 0-3 2.66 1.36 0 −1.36 −3.46 −€1.00
M24 Porto · Away10 Mar 2023 10 Mar 2023 L 2-3 12.86 0.38 0 −0.38 −3.83 −€1.00
M25 Chaves · Home18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 L 0-2 2.14 1.61 0 −1.61 −5.44 −€1.00
M26 Gil Vicente · Home31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2023 W 1-0 2.76 1.31 3 +1.69 −3.75 +€1.76
M27 Sporting de Braga · Away8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 L 1-4 11.38 0.41 0 −0.41 −4.17 −€1.00
M28 Portimonense · Home15 Apr 2023 15 Apr 2023 L 0-1 2.38 1.50 0 −1.50 −5.67 −€1.00
M29 Benfica · Away23 Apr 2023 23 Apr 2023 L 0-1 19.59 0.26 0 −0.26 −5.93 −€1.00
M30 Santa Clara · Home30 Apr 2023 30 Apr 2023 W 3-0 2.13 1.64 3 +1.36 −4.56 +€1.13
M31 Boavista · Away6 May 2023 6 May 2023 L 0-1 3.20 1.19 0 −1.19 −5.75 −€1.00
M32 Arouca · Home15 May 2023 15 May 2023 W 2-0 2.64 1.39 3 +1.61 −4.14 +€1.64
M33 Casa Pia · Away21 May 2023 21 May 2023 D 2-2 3.31 1.15 1 −0.15 −4.29 −€1.00
M34 Maritimo · Home27 May 2023 27 May 2023 W 3-1 2.19 1.57 3 +1.43 −2.86 +€1.19
Total 37.86 35 −2.86 −€6.23