← Primeira Liga 2022-23

Pacos Ferreira

Season 2022-23 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLWL

Points

23

Points expected by the market

33.75

Gap

−10.75

Yield

−43.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.67 +1.33 +106.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 9 19.39 −10.39 −63.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 11 12.69 −1.69 −34.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Gil Vicente · Away8 Aug 2022 8 Aug 2022 L 0-1 3.94 1.00 0 −1.00 −1.00 −€1.00
M2 Portimonense · Home15 Aug 2022 15 Aug 2022 L 0-3 2.63 1.39 0 −1.39 −2.39 −€1.00
M3 Estoril · Home26 Aug 2022 26 Aug 2022 L 0-3 2.57 1.41 0 −1.41 −3.80 −€1.00
M4 Benfica · Away30 Aug 2022 30 Aug 2022 L 2-3 29.24 0.18 0 −0.18 −3.98 −€1.00
M5 Boavista · Away5 Sep 2022 5 Sep 2022 L 0-1 4.17 0.97 0 −0.97 −4.95 −€1.00
M6 Casa Pia · Home11 Sep 2022 11 Sep 2022 L 2-3 3.07 1.24 0 −1.24 −6.19 −€1.00
M7 Santa Clara · Away17 Sep 2022 17 Sep 2022 D 1-1 4.67 0.89 1 +0.11 −6.08 −€1.00
M8 Arouca · Home2 Oct 2022 2 Oct 2022 D 1-1 2.55 1.41 1 −0.41 −6.49 −€1.00
M9 Guimaraes · Home8 Oct 2022 8 Oct 2022 L 0-1 3.41 1.12 0 −1.12 −7.60 −€1.00
M10 Famalicao · Away22 Oct 2022 22 Oct 2022 L 1-2 4.36 0.93 0 −0.93 −8.54 −€1.00
M11 Maritimo · Home28 Oct 2022 28 Oct 2022 L 0-1 2.30 1.52 0 −1.52 −10.06 −€1.00
M12 Porto · Away5 Nov 2022 5 Nov 2022 L 0-4 21.37 0.24 0 −0.24 −10.30 −€1.00
M13 Vizela · Home13 Nov 2022 13 Nov 2022 L 0-2 3.83 1.03 0 −1.03 −11.33 −€1.00
M14 Sporting CP · Away29 Dec 2022 29 Dec 2022 L 0-3 16.71 0.29 0 −0.29 −11.62 −€1.00
M15 Chaves · Home8 Jan 2023 8 Jan 2023 D 1-1 2.69 1.35 1 −0.35 −11.96 −€1.00
M16 Rio Ave · Away14 Jan 2023 14 Jan 2023 W 1-0 3.65 1.08 3 +1.92 −10.04 +€2.65
M17 Sporting de Braga · Home21 Jan 2023 21 Jan 2023 L 1-2 7.54 0.58 0 −0.58 −10.62 −€1.00
M18 Benfica · Home26 Jan 2023 26 Jan 2023 L 0-2 17.47 0.30 0 −0.30 −10.92 −€1.00
M19 Gil Vicente · Home31 Jan 2023 31 Jan 2023 W 2-1 3.01 1.24 3 +1.76 −9.15 +€2.01
M20 Portimonense · Away6 Feb 2023 6 Feb 2023 L 0-1 3.32 1.16 0 −1.16 −10.31 −€1.00
M21 Estoril · Away18 Feb 2023 18 Feb 2023 W 3-1 3.85 1.03 3 +1.97 −8.34 +€2.85
M22 Boavista · Home26 Feb 2023 26 Feb 2023 L 1-3 2.61 1.39 0 −1.39 −9.74 −€1.00
M23 Casa Pia · Away6 Mar 2023 6 Mar 2023 L 1-2 4.37 0.95 0 −0.95 −10.69 −€1.00
M24 Santa Clara · Home11 Mar 2023 11 Mar 2023 W 1-0 2.06 1.67 3 +1.33 −9.35 +€1.06
M25 Arouca · Away18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 D 1-1 3.42 1.12 1 −0.12 −9.48 −€1.00
M26 Guimaraes · Away1 Apr 2023 1 Apr 2023 D 0-0 3.80 1.04 1 −0.04 −9.51 −€1.00
M27 Famalicao · Home8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 L 1-3 2.80 1.33 0 −1.33 −10.84 −€1.00
M28 Maritimo · Away15 Apr 2023 15 Apr 2023 L 1-3 3.39 1.13 0 −1.13 −11.97 −€1.00
M29 Porto · Home22 Apr 2023 22 Apr 2023 L 0-2 14.38 0.35 0 −0.35 −12.32 −€1.00
M30 Vizela · Away29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 W 2-1 4.21 0.95 3 +2.05 −10.27 +€3.21
M31 Sporting CP · Home7 May 2023 7 May 2023 L 0-4 10.06 0.45 0 −0.45 −10.72 −€1.00
M32 Chaves · Away13 May 2023 13 May 2023 L 0-2 3.31 1.13 0 −1.13 −11.85 −€1.00
M33 Rio Ave · Home21 May 2023 21 May 2023 W 3-1 2.43 1.46 3 +1.54 −10.31 +€1.43
M34 Sporting de Braga · Away27 May 2023 27 May 2023 L 0-3 9.71 0.44 0 −0.44 −10.75 −€1.00
Total 33.75 23 −10.75 −€14.79