Points
74Points expected by the market
73.51Gap
+0.49Yield
−9.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 65 | +3.59 | +5.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.49 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 37 | +2.59 | +6.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.23 | +88.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 28 | +1.00 | +4.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.72 | −47.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting de Braga · Away7 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.75 |
| M2 | Rio Ave · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | −0.25 |
| M3 | Porto · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.26 |
| M4 | Chaves · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.54 | −3.81 |
| M5 | Estoril · Away2 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −3.00 |
| M6 | Portimonense · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −2.35 |
| M7 | Boavista · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.19 | −4.54 |
| M8 | Gil Vicente · Home30 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.65 | −3.89 |
| M9 | Santa Clara · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −3.07 |
| M10 | Casa Pia · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | −2.31 |
| M11 | Arouca · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −4.23 |
| M12 | Guimaraes · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −3.45 |
| M13 | Famalicao · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −2.49 |
| M14 | Pacos Ferreira · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −2.08 |
| M15 | Maritimo · Away8 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.29 | −4.37 |
| M16 | Benfica · Away15 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −4.31 |
| M17 | Vizela · Home20 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −3.69 |
| M18 | Sporting de Braga · Home1 Feb 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.46 |
| M19 | Rio Ave · Away6 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.75 |
| M20 | Porto · Home12 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.16 |
| M21 | Chaves · Away20 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.70 | −2.46 |
| M22 | Estoril · Home27 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −1.99 |
| M23 | Portimonense · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −1.29 |
| M24 | Boavista · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | −0.72 |
| M25 | Santa Clara · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.32 | −0.40 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Away5 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.26 | −1.66 |
| M27 | Casa Pia · Away9 Apr 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.73 | −0.93 |
| M28 | Arouca · Home16 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.47 | −2.40 |
| M29 | Guimaraes · Away24 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −1.62 |
| M30 | Famalicao · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | −1.15 |
| M31 | Pacos Ferreira · Away7 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −0.53 |
| M32 | Maritimo · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.41 | −0.12 |
| M33 | Benfica · Home21 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.37 |
| M34 | Vizela · Away26 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.49 |
| Total | 74 | +0.49 | |||