Points
78Points expected by the market
64.98Gap
+13.02Yield
+20.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 36 | +3.67 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 37 | +9.99 | +45.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.49 | −4.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 30 | +2.01 | +8.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.82 | +53.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.19 | +139.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.66 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 31 | +8.17 | +43.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting CP · Home7 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| M2 | Famalicao · Away12 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.28 |
| M3 | Maritimo · Home21 Aug 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.87 |
| M4 | Arouca · Away28 Aug 2022 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.74 |
| M5 | Guimaraes · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.48 |
| M6 | Rio Ave · Away11 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.96 | +4.44 |
| M7 | Vizela · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +5.22 |
| M8 | Porto · Away30 Sep 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +4.22 |
| M9 | Chaves · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.23 | +1.99 |
| M10 | Estoril · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.98 |
| M11 | Gil Vicente · Away30 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.93 |
| M12 | Casa Pia · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.22 | +1.71 |
| M13 | Portimonense · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.06 |
| M14 | Benfica · Home30 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +5.23 |
| M15 | Santa Clara · Away5 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.18 |
| M16 | Boavista · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +6.83 |
| M17 | Pacos Ferreira · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +7.61 |
| M18 | Sporting CP · Away1 Feb 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.96 | +6.65 |
| M19 | Famalicao · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +7.56 |
| M20 | Maritimo · Away12 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +8.76 |
| M21 | Arouca · Home19 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +9.57 |
| M22 | Guimaraes · Away27 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +7.83 |
| M23 | Rio Ave · Home5 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +8.74 |
| M24 | Vizela · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.02 |
| M25 | Porto · Home19 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +9.86 |
| M26 | Chaves · Away2 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +10.81 |
| M27 | Estoril · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +11.39 |
| M28 | Gil Vicente · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +12.03 |
| M29 | Casa Pia · Away21 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +13.04 |
| M30 | Portimonense · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +13.59 |
| M31 | Benfica · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +12.88 |
| M32 | Santa Clara · Home14 May 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.54 | +13.42 |
| M33 | Boavista · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +12.43 |
| M34 | Pacos Ferreira · Home27 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +13.02 |
| Total | 78 | +13.02 | |||