Points
46Points expected by the market
42.51Gap
+3.49Yield
+12.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.84 | +22.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −1.92 | −19.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | +0.58 | +42.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.11 | +3.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.45 | −42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.39 | +86.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.72 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.53 | −9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | +0.18 | +13.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estoril · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Vizela · Away20 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | +1.17 |
| M3 | Portimonense · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +0.28 |
| M4 | Porto · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.95 |
| M5 | Casa Pia · Home17 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.38 |
| M6 | Famalicao · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.46 |
| M7 | Chaves · Home1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.20 |
| M8 | Sporting CP · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −3.52 |
| M9 | Moreirense · Home27 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.93 |
| M10 | Farense · Away6 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.15 |
| M11 | Sporting de Braga · Home12 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −7.00 |
| M12 | Boavista · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −5.31 |
| M13 | Rio Ave · Home10 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −5.97 |
| M14 | Gil Vicente · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.63 |
| M15 | Estrela · Away28 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.02 |
| M16 | Benfica · Home6 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −3.65 |
| M17 | Guimaraes · Away15 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.66 |
| M18 | Estoril · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.97 |
| M19 | Vizela · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.78 |
| M20 | Portimonense · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.47 |
| M21 | Porto · Home12 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.42 | +1.94 |
| M22 | Casa Pia · Away18 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.53 |
| M23 | Famalicao · Home23 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.01 |
| M24 | Chaves · Away1 Mar 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.43 |
| M25 | Sporting CP · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +2.88 |
| M26 | Moreirense · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.77 |
| M27 | Farense · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.88 |
| M28 | Sporting de Braga · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.39 | +5.28 |
| M29 | Boavista · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +6.35 |
| M30 | Rio Ave · Away19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +6.06 |
| M31 | Gil Vicente · Away26 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | +5.76 |
| M32 | Estrela · Home5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +5.14 |
| M33 | Benfica · Away12 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.45 | +4.70 |
| M34 | Guimaraes · Home18 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +3.49 |
| Total | 46 | +3.49 | |||