Points
80Points expected by the market
76.50Gap
+3.50Yield
+0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 27 | 67 | +1.52 | −3.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.21 | +14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.85 | +60.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 38 | +2.65 | +2.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.18 | +71.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.59 | +154.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 29 | −1.13 | −9.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.26 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Boavista · Away14 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.34 | −2.34 |
| M2 | Estrela · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.40 | −1.95 |
| M3 | Gil Vicente · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.61 | −1.34 |
| M4 | Guimaraes · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | −0.76 |
| M5 | Vizela · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.05 |
| M6 | Portimonense · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.45 |
| M7 | Porto · Home29 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.66 |
| M8 | Estoril · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +2.31 |
| M9 | Casa Pia · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.49 | +0.82 |
| M10 | Chaves · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +1.44 |
| M11 | Sporting CP · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.04 |
| M12 | Moreirense · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.13 | +1.90 |
| M13 | Farense · Home8 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.54 | +0.36 |
| M14 | Sporting de Braga · Away17 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.85 |
| M15 | Famalicao · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +2.44 |
| M16 | Arouca · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +3.27 |
| M17 | Rio Ave · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +3.74 |
| M18 | Boavista · Home19 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +4.10 |
| M19 | Estrela · Away29 Jan 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +4.68 |
| M20 | Gil Vicente · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +5.09 |
| M21 | Guimaraes · Away11 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | +4.12 |
| M22 | Vizela · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.39 | +4.51 |
| M23 | Portimonense · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.31 | +4.82 |
| M24 | Porto · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.58 |
| M25 | Estoril · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +4.19 |
| M26 | Casa Pia · Away17 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +4.79 |
| M27 | Chaves · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.31 | +5.11 |
| M28 | Sporting CP · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.02 |
| M29 | Moreirense · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +4.70 |
| M30 | Farense · Away22 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +5.37 |
| M31 | Sporting de Braga · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +6.35 |
| M32 | Famalicao · Away5 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.20 | +4.14 |
| M33 | Arouca · Home12 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +4.73 |
| M34 | Rio Ave · Away17 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | +3.50 |
| Total | 80 | +3.50 | |||