← Primeira Liga 2023-24

Casa Pia

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWLLW

Points

38

Points expected by the market

37.87

Gap

+0.13

Yield

+3.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 6 8 9.90 −1.90 −33.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 17 19.77 −2.77 −23.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 13 8.19 +4.81 +52.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Farense · Away12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 W 3-0 3.10 1.23 3 +1.77 +1.77 +€2.10
M2 Sporting CP · Home18 Aug 2023 18 Aug 2023 L 1-2 8.68 0.52 0 −0.52 +1.25 −€1.00
M3 Boavista · Away27 Aug 2023 27 Aug 2023 D 1-1 3.03 1.24 1 −0.24 +1.02 −€1.00
M4 Rio Ave · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 D 1-1 2.17 1.60 1 −0.60 +0.42 −€1.00
M5 Arouca · Away17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 W 1-0 2.64 1.38 3 +1.62 +2.04 +€1.64
M6 Guimaraes · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 D 0-0 2.44 1.46 1 −0.46 +1.57 −€1.00
M7 Gil Vicente · Away2 Oct 2023 2 Oct 2023 L 0-2 3.01 1.24 0 −1.24 +0.33 −€1.00
M8 Estrela · Home8 Oct 2023 8 Oct 2023 L 0-1 2.11 1.63 0 −1.63 −1.29 −€1.00
M9 Benfica · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 D 1-1 12.91 0.37 1 +0.63 −0.66 −€1.00
M10 Vizela · Home5 Nov 2023 5 Nov 2023 L 0-1 2.17 1.60 0 −1.60 −2.26 −€1.00
M11 Estoril · Away10 Nov 2023 10 Nov 2023 L 0-4 3.03 1.23 0 −1.23 −3.49 −€1.00
M12 Portimonense · Home2 Dec 2023 2 Dec 2023 W 1-0 1.96 1.73 3 +1.27 −2.22 +€0.96
M13 Porto · Away9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 L 1-3 12.23 0.39 0 −0.39 −2.61 −€1.00
M14 Chaves · Away17 Dec 2023 17 Dec 2023 W 3-1 2.82 1.31 3 +1.69 −0.92 +€1.82
M15 Sporting de Braga · Home30 Dec 2023 30 Dec 2023 L 1-3 5.82 0.71 0 −0.71 −1.63 −€1.00
M16 Moreirense · Away8 Jan 2024 8 Jan 2024 W 4-1 5.04 0.84 3 +2.16 +0.53 +€4.04
M17 Famalicao · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 L 0-2 2.73 1.35 0 −1.35 −0.83 −€1.00
M18 Farense · Home20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 L 1-3 2.22 1.57 0 −1.57 −2.40 −€1.00
M19 Sporting CP · Away29 Jan 2024 29 Jan 2024 L 0-8 17.72 0.28 0 −0.28 −2.68 −€1.00
M20 Boavista · Home5 Feb 2024 5 Feb 2024 D 0-0 2.06 1.66 1 −0.66 −3.34 −€1.00
M21 Rio Ave · Away11 Feb 2024 11 Feb 2024 L 0-1 3.54 1.12 0 −1.12 −4.46 −€1.00
M22 Arouca · Home18 Feb 2024 18 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.93 1.28 3 +1.72 −2.74 +€1.93
M23 Guimaraes · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 W 2-0 5.75 0.74 3 +2.26 −0.48 +€4.75
M24 Gil Vicente · Home3 Mar 2024 3 Mar 2024 D 0-0 2.65 1.39 1 −0.39 −0.87 −€1.00
M25 Estrela · Away8 Mar 2024 8 Mar 2024 L 1-3 3.27 1.19 0 −1.19 −2.06 −€1.00
M26 Benfica · Home17 Mar 2024 17 Mar 2024 L 0-1 11.11 0.43 0 −0.43 −2.49 −€1.00
M27 Vizela · Away31 Mar 2024 31 Mar 2024 W 4-0 3.63 1.08 3 +1.92 −0.57 +€2.63
M28 Estoril · Home8 Apr 2024 8 Apr 2024 D 0-0 3.04 1.26 1 −0.26 −0.83 −€1.00
M29 Portimonense · Away14 Apr 2024 14 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.93 1.27 1 −0.27 −1.10 −€1.00
M30 Porto · Home21 Apr 2024 21 Apr 2024 L 1-2 9.12 0.49 0 −0.49 −1.60 −€1.00
M31 Chaves · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 W 3-1 2.04 1.69 3 +1.31 −0.29 +€1.04
M32 Sporting de Braga · Away5 May 2024 5 May 2024 L 3-4 9.32 0.47 0 −0.47 −0.76 −€1.00
M33 Moreirense · Home12 May 2024 12 May 2024 L 0-1 2.68 1.37 0 −1.37 −2.12 −€1.00
M34 Famalicao · Away17 May 2024 17 May 2024 W 2-1 5.43 0.75 3 +2.25 +0.13 +€4.43
Total 37.87 38 +0.13 +€1.34