← Primeira Liga 2023-24

Chaves

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5DLLLL

Points

23

Points expected by the market

32.72

Gap

−9.72

Yield

−53.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 0 1.59 −1.59 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 13 15.56 −2.56 −31.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 21 10 15.57 −5.57 −64.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Rio Ave · Away13 Aug 2023 13 Aug 2023 L 0-2 4.17 0.96 0 −0.96 −0.96 −€1.00
M2 Sporting de Braga · Home19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 2-4 5.83 0.70 0 −0.70 −1.66 −€1.00
M3 Farense · Away26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 L 0-5 3.56 1.07 0 −1.07 −2.73 −€1.00
M4 Moreirense · Home3 Sep 2023 3 Sep 2023 L 1-2 2.88 1.26 0 −1.26 −3.99 −€1.00
M5 Boavista · Away18 Sep 2023 18 Sep 2023 L 1-4 5.01 0.82 0 −0.82 −4.82 −€1.00
M6 Estrela · Home24 Sep 2023 24 Sep 2023 D 2-2 2.60 1.37 1 −0.37 −5.19 −€1.00
M7 Arouca · Away1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 W 2-0 3.93 1.00 3 +2.00 −3.19 +€2.93
M8 Gil Vicente · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 W 4-2 2.68 1.33 3 +1.67 −1.52 +€1.68
M9 Guimaraes · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 L 0-5 4.99 0.82 0 −0.82 −2.33 −€1.00
M10 Benfica · Home4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 L 0-2 9.50 0.46 0 −0.46 −2.79 −€1.00
M11 Portimonense · Away11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 L 1-2 3.24 1.16 0 −1.16 −3.95 −€1.00
M12 Vizela · Home1 Dec 2023 1 Dec 2023 W 2-1 2.85 1.29 3 +1.71 −2.24 +€1.85
M13 Estoril · Away10 Dec 2023 10 Dec 2023 L 0-4 4.10 0.95 0 −0.95 −3.19 −€1.00
M14 Casa Pia · Home17 Dec 2023 17 Dec 2023 L 1-3 2.62 1.39 0 −1.39 −4.58 −€1.00
M15 Porto · Away29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 L 0-1 12.64 0.36 0 −0.36 −4.94 −€1.00
M16 Famalicao · Away7 Jan 2024 7 Jan 2024 D 2-2 5.48 0.77 1 +0.23 −4.71 −€1.00
M17 Sporting CP · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 L 0-3 10.94 0.42 0 −0.42 −5.13 −€1.00
M18 Rio Ave · Home21 Jan 2024 21 Jan 2024 D 0-0 2.98 1.25 1 −0.25 −5.38 −€1.00
M19 Sporting de Braga · Away31 Jan 2024 31 Jan 2024 D 1-1 8.70 0.50 1 +0.50 −4.88 −€1.00
M20 Farense · Home4 Feb 2024 4 Feb 2024 D 1-1 2.34 1.50 1 −0.50 −5.38 −€1.00
M21 Moreirense · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 L 0-1 4.53 0.91 0 −0.91 −6.28 −€1.00
M22 Boavista · Home17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 W 2-1 2.74 1.35 3 +1.65 −4.63 +€1.74
M23 Estrela · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 D 1-1 4.07 0.98 1 +0.02 −4.61 −€1.00
M24 Arouca · Home1 Mar 2024 1 Mar 2024 L 1-5 3.31 1.14 0 −1.14 −5.75 −€1.00
M25 Gil Vicente · Away11 Mar 2024 11 Mar 2024 D 0-0 4.16 0.97 1 +0.03 −5.72 −€1.00
M26 Guimaraes · Home17 Mar 2024 17 Mar 2024 L 1-2 3.99 0.99 0 −0.99 −6.72 −€1.00
M27 Benfica · Away29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 L 0-1 22.80 0.22 0 −0.22 −6.94 −€1.00
M28 Portimonense · Home7 Apr 2024 7 Apr 2024 L 2-3 2.19 1.59 0 −1.59 −8.53 −€1.00
M29 Vizela · Away15 Apr 2024 15 Apr 2024 W 1-0 3.60 1.07 3 +1.93 −6.60 +€2.60
M30 Estoril · Home21 Apr 2024 21 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.94 1.26 1 −0.26 −6.86 −€1.00
M31 Casa Pia · Away27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 L 1-3 3.97 1.01 0 −1.01 −7.87 −€1.00
M32 Porto · Home4 May 2024 4 May 2024 L 0-3 10.53 0.43 0 −0.43 −8.30 −€1.00
M33 Famalicao · Home10 May 2024 10 May 2024 L 0-1 2.93 1.25 0 −1.25 −9.55 −€1.00
M34 Sporting CP · Away18 May 2024 18 May 2024 L 0-3 29.72 0.17 0 −0.17 −9.72 −€1.00
Total 32.72 23 −9.72 −€18.20