← Primeira Liga 2023-24

Estoril

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5DWLLL

Points

33

Points expected by the market

39.93

Gap

−6.93

Yield

+11.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 12 8.78 +3.22 +48.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 18 15 24.03 −9.03 −58.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 11 6 7.12 −1.12 +108.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Arouca · Away13 Aug 2023 13 Aug 2023 L 3-4 3.91 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.01 −€1.00
M2 Rio Ave · Home20 Aug 2023 20 Aug 2023 W 2-0 2.61 1.39 3 +1.61 +0.59 +€1.61
M3 Estrela · Away25 Aug 2023 25 Aug 2023 L 1-2 3.28 1.16 0 −1.16 −0.57 −€1.00
M4 Boavista · Home3 Sep 2023 3 Sep 2023 L 1-2 2.58 1.40 0 −1.40 −1.96 −€1.00
M5 Gil Vicente · Away17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 L 3-5 3.61 1.06 0 −1.06 −3.02 −€1.00
M6 Vizela · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 D 2-2 2.53 1.40 1 −0.40 −3.42 −€1.00
M7 Guimaraes · Away1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 L 2-3 4.41 0.90 0 −0.90 −4.33 −€1.00
M8 Benfica · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 L 0-1 8.68 0.49 0 −0.49 −4.82 −€1.00
M9 Portimonense · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 L 0-1 2.71 1.32 0 −1.32 −6.14 −€1.00
M10 Porto · Away3 Nov 2023 3 Nov 2023 W 1-0 13.11 0.35 3 +2.65 −3.49 +€12.11
M11 Casa Pia · Home10 Nov 2023 10 Nov 2023 W 4-0 2.42 1.47 3 +1.53 −1.96 +€1.42
M12 Sporting de Braga · Away3 Dec 2023 3 Dec 2023 L 1-3 6.84 0.59 0 −0.59 −2.55 −€1.00
M13 Chaves · Home10 Dec 2023 10 Dec 2023 W 4-0 1.85 1.80 3 +1.20 −1.34 +€0.85
M14 Famalicao · Away17 Dec 2023 17 Dec 2023 D 1-1 3.14 1.19 1 −0.19 −1.53 −€1.00
M15 Farense · Home30 Dec 2023 30 Dec 2023 W 4-0 1.87 1.77 3 +1.23 −0.30 +€0.87
M16 Sporting CP · Away5 Jan 2024 5 Jan 2024 L 1-5 11.06 0.41 0 −0.41 −0.71 −€1.00
M17 Moreirense · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 L 1-3 2.28 1.53 0 −1.53 −2.24 −€1.00
M18 Arouca · Home20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 L 1-2 2.45 1.43 0 −1.43 −3.66 −€1.00
M19 Rio Ave · Away31 Jan 2024 31 Jan 2024 D 1-1 3.31 1.15 1 −0.15 −3.81 −€1.00
M20 Estrela · Home4 Feb 2024 4 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.02 1.68 3 +1.32 −2.49 +€1.02
M21 Boavista · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 L 1-2 2.74 1.32 0 −1.32 −3.81 −€1.00
M22 Gil Vicente · Home18 Feb 2024 18 Feb 2024 L 1-3 2.19 1.58 0 −1.58 −5.39 −€1.00
M23 Vizela · Away25 Feb 2024 25 Feb 2024 D 3-3 2.90 1.26 1 −0.26 −5.65 −€1.00
M24 Guimaraes · Home2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 L 1-3 2.96 1.24 0 −1.24 −6.89 −€1.00
M25 Benfica · Away10 Mar 2024 10 Mar 2024 L 1-3 9.68 0.45 0 −0.45 −7.33 −€1.00
M26 Portimonense · Home15 Mar 2024 15 Mar 2024 W 1-0 1.66 1.96 3 +1.04 −6.29 +€0.66
M27 Porto · Home30 Mar 2024 30 Mar 2024 W 1-0 9.85 0.46 3 +2.54 −3.76 +€8.85
M28 Casa Pia · Away8 Apr 2024 8 Apr 2024 D 0-0 2.61 1.42 1 −0.42 −4.17 −€1.00
M29 Sporting de Braga · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 0-1 4.72 0.84 0 −0.84 −5.01 −€1.00
M30 Chaves · Away21 Apr 2024 21 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.49 1.44 1 −0.44 −5.45 −€1.00
M31 Famalicao · Home28 Apr 2024 28 Apr 2024 W 1-0 2.46 1.45 3 +1.55 −3.90 +€1.46
M32 Farense · Away5 May 2024 5 May 2024 L 2-3 2.81 1.32 0 −1.32 −5.23 −€1.00
M33 Sporting CP · Home11 May 2024 11 May 2024 L 0-1 7.50 0.56 0 −0.56 −5.79 −€1.00
M34 Moreirense · Away18 May 2024 18 May 2024 L 1-2 3.29 1.15 0 −1.15 −6.93 −€1.00
Total 39.93 33 −6.93 +€3.85