Points
33Points expected by the market
38.80Gap
−5.80Yield
−51.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.80 | −26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.95 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −5.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.15 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.20 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.35 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.75 | −30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.60 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Guimaraes · Home13 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.44 |
| M2 | Benfica · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.28 | −1.72 |
| M3 | Estoril · Home25 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.27 |
| M4 | Portimonense · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.58 |
| M5 | Porto · Home15 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −1.25 |
| M6 | Chaves · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.60 |
| M7 | Sporting de Braga · Home28 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.47 |
| M8 | Casa Pia · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.57 |
| M9 | Famalicao · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.01 |
| M10 | Sporting CP · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.36 | +0.64 |
| M11 | Moreirense · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.71 |
| M12 | Rio Ave · Away2 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.77 |
| M13 | Boavista · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.67 |
| M14 | Farense · Away15 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.59 |
| M15 | Arouca · Home28 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.72 |
| M16 | Vizela · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.03 |
| M17 | Gil Vicente · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.09 |
| M18 | Guimaraes · Away21 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.83 |
| M19 | Benfica · Home29 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.42 | −2.25 |
| M20 | Estoril · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.30 |
| M21 | Portimonense · Home9 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.00 |
| M22 | Porto · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −2.33 |
| M23 | Chaves · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −3.07 |
| M24 | Sporting de Braga · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.60 |
| M25 | Casa Pia · Home8 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −2.09 |
| M26 | Famalicao · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −2.08 |
| M27 | Sporting CP · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −2.46 |
| M28 | Moreirense · Away7 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.57 |
| M29 | Rio Ave · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.94 |
| M30 | Boavista · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −3.32 |
| M31 | Farense · Home29 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −5.12 |
| M32 | Arouca · Away5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −5.24 |
| M33 | Vizela · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −6.89 |
| M34 | Gil Vicente · Home18 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −5.80 |
| Total | 33 | −5.80 | |||