Points
42Points expected by the market
42.91Gap
−0.91Yield
−6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.04 | −8.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.27 | −33.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +1.39 | +44.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.04 | −8.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.86 | −41.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.30 | +69.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.40 | −31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +1.09 | +24.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting de Braga · Away11 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.33 | +2.33 |
| M2 | Moreirense · Home21 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.82 |
| M3 | Sporting CP · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.39 | +1.43 |
| M4 | Farense · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.92 |
| M5 | Rio Ave · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.63 |
| M6 | Arouca · Home22 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.00 |
| M7 | Boavista · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.75 |
| M8 | Guimaraes · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.44 |
| M9 | Estrela · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.16 |
| M10 | Gil Vicente · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.55 |
| M11 | Vizela · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.36 |
| M12 | Porto · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | +1.73 |
| M13 | Portimonense · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.44 |
| M14 | Estoril · Home17 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.91 |
| M15 | Benfica · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | +0.48 |
| M16 | Chaves · Home7 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.49 |
| M17 | Casa Pia · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.18 |
| M18 | Sporting de Braga · Home18 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.19 |
| M19 | Moreirense · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.04 |
| M20 | Farense · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.45 |
| M21 | Rio Ave · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.07 |
| M22 | Arouca · Away23 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.26 |
| M23 | Boavista · Home4 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.89 |
| M24 | Guimaraes · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.91 |
| M25 | Estrela · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −3.63 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.86 |
| M27 | Vizela · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.70 |
| M28 | Porto · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.10 |
| M29 | Sporting CP · Home16 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.58 |
| M30 | Portimonense · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −1.56 |
| M31 | Estoril · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.80 |
| M32 | Benfica · Home5 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.39 | −0.41 |
| M33 | Chaves · Away10 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.12 |
| M34 | Casa Pia · Home17 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −0.91 |
| Total | 42 | −0.91 | |||