Points
36Points expected by the market
39.42Gap
−3.42Yield
−33.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.53 | −7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | +0.89 | +0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 2 | −4.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.53 | −7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.22 | +14.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −0.30 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.33 | −8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 0 | −4.54 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portimonense · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Guimaraes · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.11 |
| M3 | Benfica · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.34 |
| M4 | Vizela · Away1 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.48 |
| M5 | Estoril · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.15 |
| M6 | Porto · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −0.57 |
| M7 | Casa Pia · Home2 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.97 |
| M8 | Chaves · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.42 |
| M9 | Sporting de Braga · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.21 |
| M10 | Famalicao · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.31 |
| M11 | Rio Ave · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.88 |
| M12 | Sporting CP · Away4 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.26 | −2.14 |
| M13 | Moreirense · Home11 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.30 |
| M14 | Arouca · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.36 |
| M15 | Boavista · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.92 |
| M16 | Farense · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.08 |
| M17 | Estrela · Home14 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.73 |
| M18 | Portimonense · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.03 |
| M19 | Guimaraes · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.17 |
| M20 | Benfica · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.29 | −0.47 |
| M21 | Vizela · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.16 |
| M22 | Estoril · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.30 |
| M23 | Porto · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.07 |
| M24 | Casa Pia · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.23 |
| M25 | Chaves · Home11 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.97 |
| M26 | Sporting de Braga · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −1.56 |
| M27 | Famalicao · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.02 |
| M28 | Rio Ave · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.23 |
| M29 | Sporting CP · Home12 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −4.67 |
| M30 | Moreirense · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −2.91 |
| M31 | Arouca · Home26 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −3.35 |
| M32 | Boavista · Away4 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.67 |
| M33 | Farense · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.57 |
| M34 | Estrela · Away18 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.42 |
| Total | 36 | −3.42 | |||