← Primeira Liga 2023-24

Guimaraes

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWLLW

Points

63

Points expected by the market

49.84

Gap

+13.16

Yield

+41.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 17 41 31.15 +9.85 +44.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 14 14.17 −0.17 +2.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 7 8 4.52 +3.48 +90.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Estrela · Away13 Aug 2023 13 Aug 2023 W 1-0 2.96 1.26 3 +1.74 +1.74 +€1.96
M2 Gil Vicente · Home19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 W 2-1 2.11 1.64 3 +1.36 +3.11 +€1.11
M3 Vizela · Home27 Aug 2023 27 Aug 2023 W 2-0 1.97 1.72 3 +1.28 +4.38 +€0.97
M4 Benfica · Away2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 L 0-4 10.79 0.42 0 −0.42 +3.96 −€1.00
M5 Portimonense · Home17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 L 1-2 1.53 2.09 0 −2.09 +1.87 −€1.00
M6 Casa Pia · Away23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 D 0-0 3.04 1.23 1 −0.23 +1.64 −€1.00
M7 Estoril · Home1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 W 3-2 1.80 1.84 3 +1.16 +2.80 +€0.80
M8 Famalicao · Away8 Oct 2023 8 Oct 2023 W 3-1 2.64 1.39 3 +1.61 +4.42 +€1.64
M9 Chaves · Home28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 W 5-0 1.68 1.94 3 +1.06 +5.48 +€0.68
M10 Moreirense · Away5 Nov 2023 5 Nov 2023 L 0-1 2.53 1.42 0 −1.42 +4.06 −€1.00
M11 Porto · Home11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 L 1-2 4.90 0.84 0 −0.84 +3.22 −€1.00
M12 Farense · Away2 Dec 2023 2 Dec 2023 W 2-1 2.11 1.61 3 +1.39 +4.61 +€1.11
M13 Sporting CP · Home9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 W 3-2 4.73 0.84 3 +2.16 +6.77 +€3.73
M14 Boavista · Away16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 D 1-1 2.22 1.57 1 −0.57 +6.20 −€1.00
M15 Rio Ave · Home23 Dec 2023 23 Dec 2023 W 1-0 1.73 1.90 3 +1.10 +7.30 +€0.73
M16 Sporting de Braga · Away6 Jan 2024 6 Jan 2024 D 1-1 5.27 0.77 1 +0.23 +7.53 −€1.00
M17 Arouca · Home15 Jan 2024 15 Jan 2024 W 2-1 1.97 1.71 3 +1.29 +8.81 +€0.97
M18 Estrela · Home21 Jan 2024 21 Jan 2024 W 3-0 1.60 2.02 3 +0.98 +9.79 +€0.60
M19 Gil Vicente · Away28 Jan 2024 28 Jan 2024 L 0-1 2.22 1.57 0 −1.57 +8.22 −€1.00
M20 Vizela · Away4 Feb 2024 4 Feb 2024 W 1-0 1.86 1.79 3 +1.21 +9.43 +€0.86
M21 Benfica · Home11 Feb 2024 11 Feb 2024 D 2-2 5.09 0.79 1 +0.21 +9.64 −€1.00
M22 Portimonense · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 1-1 1.91 1.76 1 −0.76 +8.88 −€1.00
M23 Casa Pia · Home24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 L 0-2 1.61 2.01 0 −2.01 +6.87 −€1.00
M24 Estoril · Away2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 W 3-1 2.36 1.48 3 +1.52 +8.39 +€1.36
M25 Famalicao · Home9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 1-0 2.00 1.70 3 +1.30 +9.69 +€1.00
M26 Chaves · Away17 Mar 2024 17 Mar 2024 W 2-1 1.97 1.72 3 +1.28 +10.97 +€0.97
M27 Moreirense · Home30 Mar 2024 30 Mar 2024 W 1-0 1.94 1.75 3 +1.25 +12.22 +€0.94
M28 Porto · Away7 Apr 2024 7 Apr 2024 W 2-1 8.60 0.52 3 +2.48 +14.70 +€7.60
M29 Farense · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 D 1-1 1.56 2.05 1 −1.05 +13.65 −€1.00
M30 Sporting CP · Away21 Apr 2024 21 Apr 2024 L 0-3 13.77 0.34 0 −0.34 +13.31 −€1.00
M31 Boavista · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 W 1-0 1.74 1.90 3 +1.10 +14.41 +€0.74
M32 Rio Ave · Away4 May 2024 4 May 2024 L 1-2 2.23 1.57 0 −1.57 +12.84 −€1.00
M33 Sporting de Braga · Home11 May 2024 11 May 2024 L 2-3 3.23 1.15 0 −1.15 +11.69 −€1.00
M34 Arouca · Away18 May 2024 18 May 2024 W 3-1 2.25 1.53 3 +1.47 +13.16 +€1.25
Total 49.84 63 +13.16 +€14.02