Points
72Points expected by the market
74.76Gap
−2.76Yield
−8.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 56 | −6.19 | −16.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.51 | +77.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.12 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 30 | −4.86 | −22.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.17 | +79.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.04 | +18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 26 | −1.33 | −9.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.35 | +76.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Moreirense · Away14 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| M2 | Farense · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.46 | +1.20 |
| M3 | Rio Ave · Away28 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.98 |
| M4 | Arouca · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.52 | +0.45 |
| M5 | Estrela · Away15 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +1.35 |
| M6 | Gil Vicente · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.90 |
| M7 | Benfica · Away29 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.94 |
| M8 | Portimonense · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +1.38 |
| M9 | Vizela · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.16 |
| M10 | Estoril · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.52 | −0.36 |
| M11 | Guimaraes · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.73 |
| M12 | Famalicao · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.57 |
| M13 | Casa Pia · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.12 |
| M14 | Sporting CP · Away18 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.96 |
| M15 | Chaves · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +1.46 |
| M16 | Boavista · Away5 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | +0.26 |
| M17 | Sporting de Braga · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.42 |
| M18 | Moreirense · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +2.15 |
| M19 | Farense · Away28 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.84 |
| M20 | Rio Ave · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.50 | +1.35 |
| M21 | Arouca · Away12 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.21 | −0.87 |
| M22 | Estrela · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.46 | −0.41 |
| M23 | Gil Vicente · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.57 |
| M24 | Benfica · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.06 |
| M25 | Portimonense · Away8 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +0.45 |
| M26 | Vizela · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.81 |
| M27 | Estoril · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.36 | −1.55 |
| M28 | Guimaraes · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.30 | −3.84 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.44 | −5.28 |
| M30 | Casa Pia · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −4.61 |
| M31 | Sporting CP · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −5.08 |
| M32 | Chaves · Away4 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.58 | −4.50 |
| M33 | Boavista · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.37 | −4.12 |
| M34 | Sporting de Braga · Away18 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.76 |
| Total | 72 | −2.76 | |||