Points
90Points expected by the market
77.93Gap
+12.07Yield
+11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 28 | 82 | +13.38 | +20.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.19 | −31.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.12 | −25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 45 | +6.89 | +18.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +123.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 37 | +6.50 | +21.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.55 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.56 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vizela · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.49 |
| M2 | Casa Pia · Away18 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +1.21 |
| M3 | Famalicao · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.75 |
| M4 | Sporting de Braga · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.12 |
| M5 | Moreirense · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.67 |
| M6 | Rio Ave · Home25 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +2.10 |
| M7 | Farense · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.73 | +2.84 |
| M8 | Arouca · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.46 | +3.30 |
| M9 | Boavista · Away30 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +4.05 |
| M10 | Estrela · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.50 | +4.55 |
| M11 | Benfica · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.24 |
| M12 | Gil Vicente · Home4 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +3.60 |
| M13 | Guimaraes · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +1.69 |
| M14 | Porto · Home18 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.13 |
| M15 | Portimonense · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +3.73 |
| M16 | Estoril · Home5 Jan 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +4.29 |
| M17 | Chaves · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +4.86 |
| M18 | Vizela · Away18 Jan 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.63 | +5.49 |
| M19 | Casa Pia · Home29 Jan 2024 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +5.90 |
| M20 | Sporting de Braga · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +6.75 |
| M21 | Moreirense · Away19 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +7.45 |
| M22 | Rio Ave · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.48 | +5.97 |
| M23 | Farense · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.37 | +6.34 |
| M24 | Arouca · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +7.09 |
| M25 | Boavista · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +7.47 |
| M26 | Estrela · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +8.00 |
| M27 | Benfica · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.35 |
| M28 | Gil Vicente · Away12 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +9.96 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Away16 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +10.60 |
| M30 | Guimaraes · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +11.08 |
| M31 | Porto · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +10.84 |
| M32 | Portimonense · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.26 | +11.09 |
| M33 | Estoril · Away11 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +11.84 |
| M34 | Chaves · Home18 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.24 | +12.07 |
| Total | 90 | +12.07 | |||