Points
68Points expected by the market
64.04Gap
+3.96Yield
−4.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 31 | +1.46 | +4.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 36 | +7.30 | +26.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 28 | +0.68 | +0.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.09 | −24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 32 | +7.39 | +34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.33 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Famalicao · Home11 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.12 | −2.12 |
| M2 | Chaves · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.20 |
| M3 | Sporting CP · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.31 |
| M4 | Moreirense · Away9 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.30 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Farense · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.90 |
| M6 | Boavista · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.98 |
| M7 | Estrela · Away28 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.13 |
| M8 | Rio Ave · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +0.77 |
| M9 | Gil Vicente · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.01 | −0.24 |
| M10 | Portimonense · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +0.30 |
| M11 | Arouca · Away12 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.38 |
| M12 | Estoril · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.15 |
| M13 | Vizela · Away8 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.13 |
| M14 | Benfica · Home17 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.89 |
| M15 | Casa Pia · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.82 |
| M16 | Guimaraes · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.82 |
| M17 | Porto · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.90 |
| M18 | Famalicao · Away18 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.14 |
| M19 | Chaves · Home31 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | +0.81 |
| M20 | Moreirense · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.66 |
| M21 | Sporting CP · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.01 |
| M22 | Farense · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.86 |
| M23 | Boavista · Away26 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.96 |
| M24 | Estrela · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +3.67 |
| M25 | Rio Ave · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | +2.80 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.59 |
| M27 | Portimonense · Away1 Apr 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.78 | +4.37 |
| M28 | Arouca · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.20 | +2.16 |
| M29 | Estoril · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.23 |
| M30 | Vizela · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +3.79 |
| M31 | Benfica · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +3.02 |
| M32 | Casa Pia · Home5 May 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.63 | +3.66 |
| M33 | Guimaraes · Away11 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.07 |
| M34 | Porto · Home18 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.96 |
| Total | 68 | +3.96 | |||