Points
26Points expected by the market
37.71Gap
−11.71Yield
−55.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 3 | −5.43 | −56.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −0.87 | −39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 4 | −5.40 | −72.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 3 | −5.43 | −56.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.24 | −18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.28 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.12 | −57.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.12 | −57.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting CP · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.35 |
| M2 | Arouca · Home20 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.93 |
| M3 | Guimaraes · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.92 |
| M4 | Gil Vicente · Home1 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.50 |
| M5 | Benfica · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.04 |
| M6 | Estoril · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.36 |
| M7 | Portimonense · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −3.24 |
| M8 | Farense · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.43 |
| M9 | Porto · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −4.01 |
| M10 | Casa Pia · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −2.13 |
| M11 | Famalicao · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.64 |
| M12 | Chaves · Away1 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.07 |
| M13 | Sporting de Braga · Home8 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.83 |
| M14 | Rio Ave · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −5.03 |
| M15 | Moreirense · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −5.26 |
| M16 | Estrela · Away6 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −5.67 |
| M17 | Boavista · Home14 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.69 | −7.36 |
| M18 | Sporting CP · Home18 Jan 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.46 | −7.81 |
| M19 | Arouca · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.93 | −8.74 |
| M20 | Guimaraes · Home4 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −9.69 |
| M21 | Gil Vicente · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −7.71 |
| M22 | Benfica · Away18 Feb 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.28 | −7.99 |
| M23 | Estoril · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.45 |
| M24 | Portimonense · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.74 |
| M25 | Farense · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −7.31 |
| M26 | Porto · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.26 | −7.57 |
| M27 | Casa Pia · Home31 Mar 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.63 | −9.20 |
| M28 | Famalicao · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −10.10 |
| M29 | Chaves · Home15 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −11.75 |
| M30 | Sporting de Braga · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −12.16 |
| M31 | Rio Ave · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −12.48 |
| M32 | Moreirense · Away3 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −13.65 |
| M33 | Estrela · Home11 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −11.73 |
| M34 | Boavista · Away18 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −11.71 |
| Total | 26 | −11.71 | |||