Points
38Points expected by the market
40.47Gap
−2.47Yield
−36.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.69 | −11.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.32 | −1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −3.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.34 | −26.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.33 | +15.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.65 | −11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Guimaraes · Home12 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Moreirense · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Nacional · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.91 |
| M4 | Rio Ave · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.14 |
| M5 | Sporting CP · Home13 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.51 |
| M6 | Farense · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.93 |
| M7 | Porto · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.36 | −1.29 |
| M8 | AVS · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.91 |
| M9 | Estoril · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.39 |
| M10 | Sporting de Braga · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.26 |
| M11 | Famalicao · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.42 |
| M12 | Benfica · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.78 |
| M13 | Estrela · Away9 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.14 |
| M14 | Santa Clara · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −4.29 |
| M15 | Casa Pia · Away20 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.45 |
| M16 | Gil Vicente · Home27 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −6.03 |
| M17 | Boavista · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.68 |
| M18 | Guimaraes · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −4.46 |
| M19 | Moreirense · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.96 |
| M20 | Nacional · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.15 |
| M21 | Rio Ave · Home10 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.82 |
| M22 | Sporting CP · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.59 | −1.23 |
| M23 | Farense · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | −2.01 |
| M24 | Porto · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.73 |
| M25 | AVS · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.26 |
| M26 | Estoril · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.00 |
| M27 | Sporting de Braga · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.81 |
| M28 | Famalicao · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.13 |
| M29 | Benfica · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.77 | −3.36 |
| M30 | Estrela · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.05 |
| M31 | Santa Clara · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.96 |
| M32 | Casa Pia · Home4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −3.62 |
| M33 | Gil Vicente · Away10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.77 |
| M34 | Boavista · Home17 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.47 |
| Total | 38 | −2.47 | |||