Points
27Points expected by the market
33.60Gap
−6.60Yield
−47.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.10 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −1.99 | −23.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 12 | −1.51 | −54.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.10 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.32 | −25.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +1.20 | −15.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | +0.33 | −17.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −2.71 | −73.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nacional · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Gil Vicente · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.83 |
| M3 | Guimaraes · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.18 | +0.36 |
| M4 | Santa Clara · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.41 |
| M5 | Rio Ave · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.23 |
| M6 | Sporting CP · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.23 | +1.00 |
| M7 | Farense · Home30 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.35 |
| M8 | Arouca · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.27 |
| M9 | Porto · Home28 Oct 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.21 |
| M10 | Famalicao · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.37 |
| M11 | Estoril · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.45 |
| M12 | Sporting de Braga · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −2.00 |
| M13 | Casa Pia · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.88 |
| M14 | Benfica · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.64 | −1.23 |
| M15 | Boavista · Away21 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.44 |
| M16 | Estrela · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.94 |
| M17 | Moreirense · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −1.86 |
| M18 | Nacional · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.85 |
| M19 | Gil Vicente · Home27 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.05 |
| M20 | Guimaraes · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.74 |
| M21 | Santa Clara · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.82 |
| M22 | Rio Ave · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.97 |
| M23 | Sporting CP · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −2.49 |
| M24 | Farense · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.61 |
| M25 | Arouca · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.78 |
| M26 | Porto · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.15 |
| M27 | Famalicao · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.95 |
| M28 | Estoril · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.15 |
| M29 | Sporting de Braga · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.74 |
| M30 | Casa Pia · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.00 |
| M31 | Benfica · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.19 | −5.19 |
| M32 | Boavista · Home5 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −6.67 |
| M33 | Estrela · Away11 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −4.82 |
| M34 | Moreirense · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −6.60 |
| Total | 27 | −6.60 | |||