Points
80Points expected by the market
79.12Gap
+0.88Yield
−4.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 66 | +1.03 | −3.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.16 | +8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 40 | +1.84 | +1.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.68 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 26 | −0.81 | −11.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.48 | +13.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Famalicao · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −2.06 |
| M2 | Casa Pia · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.54 |
| M3 | Estrela · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −1.13 |
| M4 | Moreirense · Away30 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | −2.33 |
| M5 | Santa Clara · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.58 | −1.75 |
| M6 | Boavista · Away23 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −1.28 |
| M7 | Gil Vicente · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.42 | −0.86 |
| M8 | Rio Ave · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.36 | −0.50 |
| M9 | Farense · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.36 | −0.14 |
| M10 | Porto · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.11 |
| M11 | Arouca · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +1.62 |
| M12 | Guimaraes · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +2.24 |
| M13 | AVS · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.51 | +0.74 |
| M14 | Nacional · Away19 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +1.31 |
| M15 | Estoril · Home23 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +1.65 |
| M16 | Sporting CP · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.33 |
| M17 | Sporting de Braga · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.29 | −1.95 |
| M18 | Famalicao · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.54 | −1.41 |
| M19 | Casa Pia · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.27 | −3.68 |
| M20 | Estrela · Away2 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.49 | −3.20 |
| M21 | Moreirense · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.47 | −2.73 |
| M22 | Santa Clara · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.46 |
| M23 | Boavista · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.37 | −1.09 |
| M24 | Nacional · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | −0.59 |
| M25 | Rio Ave · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.62 | +0.03 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Away28 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.71 |
| M27 | Farense · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.39 | +1.09 |
| M28 | Porto · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.51 |
| M29 | Arouca · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.67 | +0.85 |
| M30 | Guimaraes · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.77 |
| M31 | AVS · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.27 | +2.04 |
| M32 | Estoril · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +2.51 |
| M33 | Sporting CP · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.94 |
| M34 | Sporting de Braga · Away17 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +0.88 |
| Total | 80 | +0.88 | |||