Points
24Points expected by the market
29.86Gap
−5.86Yield
−23.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.80 | −66.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 18 | −0.06 | −8.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 3 | −7.57 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −3.67 | −42.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.78 | +206.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +3.60 | +10.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Casa Pia · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.03 |
| M2 | Sporting de Braga · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.27 |
| M3 | Famalicao · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.56 |
| M4 | Estoril · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.16 |
| M5 | Estrela · Away16 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.15 |
| M6 | Benfica · Home23 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.18 |
| M7 | Santa Clara · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.85 |
| M8 | Guimaraes · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.36 |
| M9 | Moreirense · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.51 |
| M10 | Gil Vicente · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +0.65 |
| M11 | Rio Ave · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.62 |
| M12 | Nacional · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.62 |
| M13 | Farense · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.06 |
| M14 | Sporting CP · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.25 | −1.30 |
| M15 | AVS · Home21 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.79 |
| M16 | Porto · Away28 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.30 | −2.09 |
| M17 | Arouca · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.14 |
| M18 | Casa Pia · Home20 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.15 |
| M19 | Sporting de Braga · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.61 |
| M20 | Famalicao · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.67 |
| M21 | Estoril · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −6.38 |
| M22 | Estrela · Home14 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.82 |
| M23 | Benfica · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.26 | −8.08 |
| M24 | Santa Clara · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −5.91 |
| M25 | Guimaraes · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −6.68 |
| M26 | Moreirense · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −7.47 |
| M27 | Gil Vicente · Home1 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −8.66 |
| M28 | Rio Ave · Away7 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −6.69 |
| M29 | Nacional · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.89 |
| M30 | Farense · Away18 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −5.74 |
| M31 | Sporting CP · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.29 | −6.03 |
| M32 | AVS · Away5 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −4.25 |
| M33 | Porto · Home11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −4.82 |
| M34 | Arouca · Away17 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.86 |
| Total | 24 | −5.86 | |||