Points
45Points expected by the market
39.92Gap
+5.08Yield
+25.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +1.19 | +0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.03 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +1.87 | +52.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.13 | −14.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +1.92 | +51.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.43 | +196.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.11 | −18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.57 | −27.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Boavista · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.75 |
| M2 | Benfica · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.12 |
| M3 | Santa Clara · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.39 |
| M4 | Estrela · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.64 |
| M5 | Moreirense · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.07 |
| M6 | Gil Vicente · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.02 |
| M7 | Guimaraes · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| M8 | Sporting CP · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −0.21 |
| M9 | Nacional · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.20 |
| M10 | Rio Ave · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.99 |
| M11 | Farense · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.25 |
| M12 | Porto · Away2 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −0.07 |
| M13 | AVS · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.92 |
| M14 | Estoril · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.73 |
| M15 | Arouca · Home20 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.20 |
| M16 | Sporting de Braga · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.35 | +4.55 |
| M17 | Famalicao · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +3.90 |
| M18 | Boavista · Away20 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.21 |
| M19 | Benfica · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.46 | +7.68 |
| M20 | Santa Clara · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +6.65 |
| M21 | Estrela · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +7.87 |
| M22 | Moreirense · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +6.63 |
| M23 | Gil Vicente · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +8.07 |
| M24 | Guimaraes · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +7.19 |
| M25 | Sporting CP · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | +6.56 |
| M26 | Nacional · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +5.36 |
| M27 | Rio Ave · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +6.60 |
| M28 | Farense · Away7 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +6.40 |
| M29 | Porto · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +5.64 |
| M30 | AVS · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +5.20 |
| M31 | Estoril · Home29 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +3.76 |
| M32 | Arouca · Away4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | +3.70 |
| M33 | Sporting de Braga · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +6.04 |
| M34 | Famalicao · Away16 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +5.08 |
| Total | 45 | +5.08 | |||