Points
46Points expected by the market
35.84Gap
+10.16Yield
+10.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.71 | +23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 27 | +7.45 | +35.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | +1.00 | −15.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.71 | +23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.09 | +27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.11 | −13.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +4.36 | +46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | +1.11 | −15.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santa Clara · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.38 |
| M2 | Guimaraes · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.04 |
| M3 | Gil Vicente · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.30 |
| M4 | Boavista · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.59 |
| M5 | Nacional · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.01 |
| M6 | Rio Ave · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.97 |
| M7 | Sporting CP · Home27 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −1.25 |
| M8 | Farense · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.32 |
| M9 | Arouca · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.54 |
| M10 | Porto · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.26 | −0.80 |
| M11 | AVS · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.42 |
| M12 | Famalicao · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.41 |
| M13 | Sporting de Braga · Away6 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.62 | +1.02 |
| M14 | Casa Pia · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.29 |
| M15 | Benfica · Away23 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −0.53 |
| M16 | Moreirense · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.86 |
| M17 | Estrela · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.97 |
| M18 | Santa Clara · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.21 | +3.18 |
| M19 | Guimaraes · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +5.26 |
| M20 | Gil Vicente · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +7.20 |
| M21 | Boavista · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +8.15 |
| M22 | Nacional · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | +8.03 |
| M23 | Rio Ave · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +9.40 |
| M24 | Sporting CP · Away3 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +8.94 |
| M25 | Farense · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +8.49 |
| M26 | Arouca · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +8.51 |
| M27 | Porto · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +7.82 |
| M28 | AVS · Away4 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +9.32 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +8.30 |
| M30 | Sporting de Braga · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +7.44 |
| M31 | Casa Pia · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +9.20 |
| M32 | Benfica · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +8.86 |
| M33 | Moreirense · Away11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +8.53 |
| M34 | Estrela · Home17 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +10.16 |
| Total | 46 | +10.16 | |||