Points
47Points expected by the market
44.18Gap
+2.82Yield
−11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.86 | +11.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +0.97 | +2.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −1.02 | −47.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.51 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.49 | −40.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +2.23 | +43.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +108.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.46 | +20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −3.24 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Benfica · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.28 | +2.28 |
| M2 | Estrela · Away19 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.81 |
| M3 | Boavista · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +4.78 |
| M4 | Guimaraes · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.79 |
| M5 | Gil Vicente · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.03 |
| M6 | Moreirense · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.67 |
| M7 | Nacional · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | +1.76 |
| M8 | Rio Ave · Away4 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.37 |
| M9 | Sporting CP · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.93 |
| M10 | AVS · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.41 |
| M11 | Arouca · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.87 |
| M12 | Estoril · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.35 |
| M13 | Porto · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.80 |
| M14 | Sporting de Braga · Away16 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | +1.07 |
| M15 | Farense · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.68 |
| M16 | Santa Clara · Home30 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.95 |
| M17 | Casa Pia · Away5 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.99 |
| M18 | Benfica · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −2.38 |
| M19 | Estrela · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | −3.24 |
| M20 | Boavista · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −1.89 |
| M21 | Guimaraes · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.06 |
| M22 | Gil Vicente · Away17 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.20 |
| M23 | Moreirense · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.30 |
| M24 | Nacional · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.05 |
| M25 | Rio Ave · Home10 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.20 |
| M26 | Sporting CP · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.74 |
| M27 | AVS · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.80 |
| M28 | Arouca · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.42 |
| M29 | Estoril · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.72 |
| M30 | Porto · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +4.02 |
| M31 | Sporting de Braga · Home25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.96 |
| M32 | Farense · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +2.54 |
| M33 | Santa Clara · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.60 |
| M34 | Casa Pia · Home16 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.82 |
| Total | 47 | +2.82 | |||