Points
27Points expected by the market
35.52Gap
−8.52Yield
−38.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.52 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −7.23 | −42.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −0.78 | −40.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.52 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −7.21 | −48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.01 | −28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +1.37 | −17.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Moreirense · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.33 |
| M2 | Rio Ave · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.36 |
| M3 | Sporting CP · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.34 | −2.70 |
| M4 | Nacional · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.72 |
| M5 | Porto · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.23 | −3.95 |
| M6 | Arouca · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.25 |
| M7 | AVS · Away30 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −5.32 |
| M8 | Estoril · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.96 |
| M9 | Sporting de Braga · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −4.44 |
| M10 | Benfica · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −4.69 |
| M11 | Casa Pia · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −4.66 |
| M12 | Estrela · Home29 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −3.19 |
| M13 | Boavista · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −3.43 |
| M14 | Gil Vicente · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −4.80 |
| M15 | Famalicao · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −2.76 |
| M16 | Guimaraes · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.58 |
| M17 | Santa Clara · Away5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −2.32 |
| M18 | Moreirense · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.27 |
| M19 | Rio Ave · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.75 |
| M20 | Sporting CP · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −4.06 |
| M21 | Nacional · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.55 |
| M22 | Porto · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.29 |
| M23 | Arouca · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −6.24 |
| M24 | AVS · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −7.80 |
| M25 | Estoril · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −8.04 |
| M26 | Sporting de Braga · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.03 |
| M27 | Benfica · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.27 | −9.31 |
| M28 | Casa Pia · Home7 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −9.80 |
| M29 | Estrela · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −8.10 |
| M30 | Boavista · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −9.98 |
| M31 | Gil Vicente · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −11.20 |
| M32 | Famalicao · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −9.49 |
| M33 | Guimaraes · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.34 | −7.15 |
| M34 | Santa Clara · Home17 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −8.52 |
| Total | 27 | −8.52 | |||