Points
34Points expected by the market
40.48Gap
−6.48Yield
−29.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.24 | −34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −0.85 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 7 | −3.39 | −48.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.24 | −34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.98 | −20.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +1.31 | +43.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.12 | +2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −4.70 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Porto · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −0.38 |
| M2 | AVS · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.07 |
| M3 | Estoril · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.63 |
| M4 | Sporting de Braga · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.66 |
| M5 | Famalicao · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.70 |
| M6 | Casa Pia · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.06 |
| M7 | Benfica · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.30 | −0.25 |
| M8 | Estrela · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.99 |
| M9 | Santa Clara · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.01 |
| M10 | Boavista · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.90 |
| M11 | Moreirense · Away8 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.97 |
| M12 | Guimaraes · Away2 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.79 |
| M13 | Nacional · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.49 |
| M14 | Farense · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.81 |
| M15 | Sporting CP · Home22 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.35 |
| M16 | Arouca · Away27 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.46 |
| M17 | Rio Ave · Home6 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.08 |
| M18 | Porto · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.39 | +1.31 |
| M19 | AVS · Away27 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.18 |
| M20 | Estoril · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.81 |
| M21 | Sporting de Braga · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.61 |
| M22 | Famalicao · Home17 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −4.16 |
| M23 | Casa Pia · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.30 |
| M24 | Estrela · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −5.63 |
| M25 | Santa Clara · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −7.00 |
| M26 | Benfica · Home28 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −7.49 |
| M27 | Boavista · Away1 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −6.00 |
| M28 | Moreirense · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −7.48 |
| M29 | Guimaraes · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.56 |
| M30 | Nacional · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −6.81 |
| M31 | Farense · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −5.27 |
| M32 | Sporting CP · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −5.52 |
| M33 | Arouca · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −6.08 |
| M34 | Rio Ave · Away16 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −6.48 |
| Total | 34 | −6.48 | |||