Points
54Points expected by the market
55.67Gap
−1.67Yield
−21.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.72 | −52.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 42 | +2.99 | +4.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.55 | −49.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.72 | −52.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 25 | +5.65 | +39.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.66 | −28.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.14 | −11.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arouca · Away12 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.40 |
| M2 | Estoril · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.30 |
| M3 | AVS · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.37 |
| M4 | Famalicao · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.66 |
| M5 | Sporting de Braga · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.57 |
| M6 | Porto · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.61 |
| M7 | Casa Pia · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.89 |
| M8 | Boavista · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.28 | +0.61 |
| M9 | Estrela · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.28 |
| M10 | Moreirense · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.86 |
| M11 | Santa Clara · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.45 |
| M12 | Gil Vicente · Home2 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.64 |
| M13 | Benfica · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +0.20 |
| M14 | Rio Ave · Away16 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.63 |
| M15 | Nacional · Home23 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.26 | −1.90 |
| M16 | Farense · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.80 |
| M17 | Sporting CP · Home3 Jan 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.82 |
| M18 | Arouca · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.95 | −3.77 |
| M19 | Estoril · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −5.58 |
| M20 | AVS · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −4.64 |
| M21 | Famalicao · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.17 |
| M22 | Sporting de Braga · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.73 |
| M23 | Porto · Away24 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −5.60 |
| M24 | Casa Pia · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −4.44 |
| M25 | Boavista · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | −3.41 |
| M26 | Estrela · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −2.47 |
| M27 | Moreirense · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −3.09 |
| M28 | Santa Clara · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.84 |
| M29 | Gil Vicente · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.46 |
| M30 | Benfica · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.17 |
| M31 | Rio Ave · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.34 |
| M32 | Nacional · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.90 |
| M33 | Farense · Home11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | −1.21 |
| M34 | Sporting CP · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −1.67 |
| Total | 54 | −1.67 | |||