Points
40Points expected by the market
41.23Gap
−1.23Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.43 | −1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −4.16 | −21.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | +1.50 | +23.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.43 | −1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.65 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +2.23 | +132.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.51 | −18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −0.72 | −39.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Farense · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Arouca · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.93 |
| M3 | Sporting de Braga · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.09 |
| M4 | Benfica · Home30 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | +2.49 |
| M5 | Casa Pia · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.09 |
| M6 | Famalicao · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.79 |
| M7 | Estrela · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.69 |
| M8 | Santa Clara · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.93 |
| M9 | Boavista · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.38 |
| M10 | Guimaraes · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.52 |
| M11 | Gil Vicente · Home8 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.90 |
| M12 | Rio Ave · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.56 |
| M13 | Sporting CP · Home5 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.51 | +4.07 |
| M14 | Nacional · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +2.61 |
| M15 | Porto · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.99 |
| M16 | Estoril · Away28 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.65 |
| M17 | AVS · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.86 |
| M18 | Farense · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.10 |
| M19 | Arouca · Away24 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.10 |
| M20 | Sporting de Braga · Home3 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.27 |
| M21 | Benfica · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.34 | −2.60 |
| M22 | Casa Pia · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.04 |
| M23 | Famalicao · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.23 |
| M24 | Estrela · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −3.01 |
| M25 | Santa Clara · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.97 |
| M26 | Boavista · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.91 |
| M27 | Guimaraes · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.98 |
| M28 | Gil Vicente · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.17 |
| M29 | Rio Ave · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.75 |
| M30 | Sporting CP · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.27 | −2.02 |
| M31 | Nacional · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.41 |
| M32 | Porto · Away2 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.90 |
| M33 | Estoril · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −3.28 |
| M34 | AVS · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −1.23 |
| Total | 40 | −1.23 | |||