Points
34Points expected by the market
37.28Gap
−3.28Yield
−15.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.06 | −34.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.10 | +38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 6 | −5.33 | −47.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.06 | −34.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.66 | +83.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.20 | +67.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.55 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −5.13 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | AVS · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 |
| M2 | Sporting CP · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.39 | −0.44 |
| M3 | Arouca · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.39 |
| M4 | Farense · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.10 |
| M5 | Estoril · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.39 |
| M6 | Sporting de Braga · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.27 |
| M7 | Famalicao · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.09 |
| M8 | Casa Pia · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.21 |
| M9 | Santa Clara · Home4 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.51 |
| M10 | Estrela · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.66 |
| M11 | Boavista · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −3.38 |
| M12 | Gil Vicente · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.41 |
| M13 | Moreirense · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −2.64 |
| M14 | Benfica · Home19 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.42 | −3.06 |
| M15 | Guimaraes · Away23 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.47 | −2.59 |
| M16 | Rio Ave · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.64 |
| M17 | Porto · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.47 | −1.18 |
| M18 | AVS · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.11 |
| M19 | Sporting CP · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −0.21 |
| M20 | Arouca · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.71 |
| M21 | Farense · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.09 |
| M22 | Estoril · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.50 |
| M23 | Sporting de Braga · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −1.18 |
| M24 | Famalicao · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.48 |
| M25 | Benfica · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.36 | +0.12 |
| M26 | Casa Pia · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.61 |
| M27 | Santa Clara · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.75 |
| M28 | Estrela · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.90 |
| M29 | Boavista · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.59 |
| M30 | Gil Vicente · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.86 |
| M31 | Moreirense · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.16 |
| M32 | Guimaraes · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.14 |
| M33 | Rio Ave · Home10 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.81 |
| M34 | Porto · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.28 |
| Total | 34 | −3.28 | |||