Points
71Points expected by the market
71.20Gap
−0.20Yield
−10.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | 47 | +1.59 | −0.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +3.23 | +15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.02 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 36 | +6.20 | +22.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.93 | −49.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.44 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 11 | −4.62 | −40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 18 | +4.16 | +43.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.58 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gil Vicente · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +0.53 |
| M2 | Santa Clara · Away16 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.63 |
| M3 | Rio Ave · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +2.17 |
| M4 | Sporting CP · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.15 |
| M5 | Farense · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.34 | +1.49 |
| M6 | Guimaraes · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.74 |
| M7 | Arouca · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +3.24 |
| M8 | Sporting de Braga · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +4.06 |
| M9 | AVS · Away28 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +4.72 |
| M10 | Estoril · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.37 | +5.09 |
| M11 | Benfica · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.99 | +4.10 |
| M12 | Casa Pia · Home2 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +4.55 |
| M13 | Famalicao · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | +3.30 |
| M14 | Estrela · Home16 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +3.71 |
| M15 | Moreirense · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.54 |
| M16 | Boavista · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +4.97 |
| M17 | Nacional · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.27 | +2.69 |
| M18 | Gil Vicente · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.17 | +0.52 |
| M19 | Santa Clara · Home26 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.46 |
| M20 | Rio Ave · Away3 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.19 | −1.65 |
| M21 | Sporting CP · Home7 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.96 |
| M22 | Farense · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −0.97 |
| M23 | Guimaraes · Home24 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.83 |
| M24 | Arouca · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.88 |
| M25 | Sporting de Braga · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.46 |
| M26 | AVS · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.94 |
| M27 | Estoril · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.01 |
| M28 | Benfica · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.15 |
| M29 | Casa Pia · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −1.14 |
| M30 | Famalicao · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | −0.23 |
| M31 | Estrela · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −2.29 |
| M32 | Moreirense · Home2 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.67 | −1.62 |
| M33 | Boavista · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.84 |
| M34 | Nacional · Home17 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.20 |
| Total | 71 | −0.20 | |||