Points
38Points expected by the market
36.82Gap
+1.18Yield
−27.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.21 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +4.52 | +18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −3.55 | −75.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.21 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.02 | +7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.52 | −35.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.50 | +30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 2 | −5.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting CP · Away9 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −0.24 |
| M2 | Farense · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.07 |
| M3 | Porto · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | +0.68 |
| M4 | Arouca · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.20 |
| M5 | AVS · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.87 |
| M6 | Estoril · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.11 |
| M7 | Sporting de Braga · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.60 |
| M8 | Famalicao · Home4 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.90 |
| M9 | Benfica · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.26 | −1.16 |
| M10 | Casa Pia · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.65 |
| M11 | Boavista · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.08 |
| M12 | Moreirense · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.57 |
| M13 | Santa Clara · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Guimaraes · Home16 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.86 |
| M15 | Estrela · Away23 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.37 |
| M16 | Nacional · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.98 |
| M17 | Gil Vicente · Away6 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.90 |
| M18 | Sporting CP · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.39 |
| M19 | Farense · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.19 |
| M20 | Porto · Home3 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | +2.59 |
| M21 | Arouca · Away10 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.54 |
| M22 | AVS · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.98 |
| M23 | Estoril · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.88 |
| M24 | Sporting de Braga · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.88 |
| M25 | Famalicao · Away10 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.92 |
| M26 | Benfica · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +1.47 |
| M27 | Casa Pia · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.51 |
| M28 | Boavista · Home7 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.19 |
| M29 | Moreirense · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.69 |
| M30 | Santa Clara · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.67 |
| M31 | Guimaraes · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.05 |
| M32 | Estrela · Home5 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.58 |
| M33 | Nacional · Away10 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.50 |
| M34 | Gil Vicente · Home16 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.18 |
| Total | 38 | +1.18 | |||