Points
57Points expected by the market
48.43Gap
+8.57Yield
+41.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 31 | +3.51 | +9.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +5.89 | +70.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −0.83 | +61.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 29 | +6.71 | +37.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.44 | +35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.20 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +5.45 | +78.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +1.65 | +157.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estoril · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.69 |
| M2 | Porto · Home16 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.84 |
| M3 | Casa Pia · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.44 |
| M4 | AVS · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.48 |
| M5 | Benfica · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.42 | +3.06 |
| M6 | Estrela · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.15 |
| M7 | Boavista · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +5.05 |
| M8 | Moreirense · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.77 |
| M9 | Gil Vicente · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.09 |
| M10 | Nacional · Away4 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.70 |
| M11 | Guimaraes · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.33 |
| M12 | Sporting CP · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.63 | +7.97 |
| M13 | Rio Ave · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +9.04 |
| M14 | Arouca · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +7.51 |
| M15 | Sporting de Braga · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +6.32 |
| M16 | Famalicao · Away30 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +7.92 |
| M17 | Farense · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | +6.95 |
| M18 | Estoril · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.94 | +5.01 |
| M19 | Porto · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +5.24 |
| M20 | Casa Pia · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +6.59 |
| M21 | AVS · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.00 |
| M22 | Benfica · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +7.02 |
| M23 | Estrela · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +6.40 |
| M24 | Boavista · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +4.50 |
| M25 | Moreirense · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.79 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.48 |
| M27 | Nacional · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +6.62 |
| M28 | Guimaraes · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +5.68 |
| M29 | Sporting CP · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +5.01 |
| M30 | Rio Ave · Away18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +4.33 |
| M31 | Arouca · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.54 |
| M32 | Sporting de Braga · Away3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +5.68 |
| M33 | Famalicao · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +6.91 |
| M34 | Farense · Away17 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +8.57 |
| Total | 57 | +8.57 | |||